Crypto's Secret Market Signal

Gianni Di Poce just flagged something that stopped me in my tracks. Fund managers dumped stocks last week at one of the fastest rates in history. Yet Bitcoin and Ethereum have held firm through the entire selloff. That disconnect matters. Gianni's read is straightforward: if crypto were getting hammered alongside equities, we'd be in a…

Taking Block Trades Print to Position

Hey trader, Every trader can pull up a chart and see that AAL is sitting on support.  However, the options flow tells you something the chart cannot.  Institutional money is positioning for a move higher with defined timing, and the short interest stacked behind the stock amplifies every dollar of upside. The Block Hunter Console…

I Was Right About the Market. I'm Still Losing Money.

Being right is not enough. I hear it constantly. A trader got the direction right, the market moved exactly where they said it would, and they still lost money. They are frustrated. Confused. And usually convinced they did something wrong. They did not do anything wrong. They just learned one of the most important lessons…

You Are Getting Faked Into the Popcorn Machine Right Now

Hey trader, Chick Hearn was the greatest basketball announcer who ever lived. He called Lakers games for 41 years without missing a single broadcast. 3,308 consecutive games. When a defender got completely fooled by a head fake, Hearn had a phrase for it. He said the player got "faked into the popcorn machine." Spun around,…

Ten Weeks Without a Breach. Here's Why That Should Make You Nervous.

Ten weeks. Ten consecutive weeks without breaching the expected move. I have been tracking this data for almost ten years. Hand drawing it. Building scanners to measure it.  It started back when I was employee number thirteen at thinkorswim, building the tools that let traders read what the market was already pricing.  Most traders spend…

Tuesday, March 17, 2026 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook

Pivot Held — Bulls in Control (For Now)by Tony Rago Bulls are stepping in right where they need to, defending the weekly pivot on both ES and NQ — a key level that often acts as a directional guide for the session. Holding above that zone into the open gives buyers the early edge, and…

54,000 SPY Puts in Two Trades

Someone bought 54,000 SPY put contracts in two trades today while the S&P 500 rallied 1%. Brandon Chapman caught it all in real time using Block Hunter. The trades hit at the 660 strike with a 22 delta. One block landed at 22,000 contracts. The other came in at 32,000. Both executed at the exact…

Salesforce Spent $25 Billion Buying Back Stock. Three Days Later, Nobody Knows What to Think.

Salesforce just spent twenty-five billion dollars buying back its own stock. Three trading sessions later, the stock is almost exactly where it started. Up 3% on the announcement. Down 3.24% the next day. Up 2.6% today. That chop — on the largest buyback in company history — is the story. Let me tell you why.…

Bitcoin's Stealth Rally Signal

Hey trader, Bitcoin just broke a five-month losing streak while nobody was watching. And it could just be the best trade opportunity no one knows about. Traders are so locked into the equity selloff that they missed Bitcoin rallying 8% in March, outperforming every major index. That kind of divergence does not stay hidden for…

The Fed Meets Wednesday. Here's Why I'm Already Done Thinking About It.

The Fed meets Wednesday. And I'm already done thinking about it. Not because I don't care. Because the market already told me everything I need to know — and it's sitting right there in the expected move. Here's what I mean. I've spent over two decades building frameworks around options and volatility — first at…