24 Hours Later: What Yesterday's VIX Spike Actually Meant
Yesterday VIX hit 35 on a 5% pullback from yearly highs. Today it's back to 23. Most traders see that as "crisis averted." I see it as proof this market is completely broken. When Volatility Goes Insane Look, I've been trading for over 25 years. I stood on the floor when real crashes happened. I've…
Tuesday, March 10, 2026 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Relief Rally — Now It’s About Follow-Throughby Tony Rago Markets ripped higher yesterday on headlines suggesting the war could be nearing an end, sparking a powerful relief rally across the board. NQ exploded more than 1,000 points off the lows and powered all the way back toward the 25,000 level — a major psychological area…
Oil's Rage to Whimper
Crude oil round tripped from $120 down to $81 in a single session today. Brandon Chapman spotted the trade hiding inside that move. Brandon took a call spread on American Airlines during the sell off and banked 30% before the close. His target was 70%, but with this much headline risk, he took the money…
Oil's Hidden Shortage Signal
Hey trader, The oil futures curve is pricing in a physical shortage that the spot price is hiding from you. Crude pulled back to $94 today. Most traders saw that and assumed the risk was fading. The futures term structure tells a completely different story. If you know how to read the curve, you can…
Why this 5% drop isn't actually selling (and what that means)
Most traders are looking at this market completely wrong right now. Everyone's panicking about war headlines and oil spikes, calling this a major selloff. But I'm looking at something completely different - whether we've actually seen any real selling pressure. And the answer might surprise you. The Numbers Don't Lie About "Selling" I track a…
I Am Getting Ready to Load the Boat on…
Hey trader, Airlines are getting obliterated today. UAL, Delta, and Southwest are all falling with no bids underneath. I am not buying a single share. Genesis COG dictates that we never buy on the way down. But I told my audience this morning that this $12 trillion travel sector is heading straight to my buy…
Bears Slowly Losing Their Grip
Hello TheoTrader, Stocks finished lower last week. Fears surrounding the geopolitical situation in the Middle East continue to escalate. I am not discounting the seriousness of the situation. But the market has a knack for picking up on these things before they begin and end. Last week, energy ran the table. Oil prices surged over…
The Market Signal Everyone Missed This Morning
Here's what I noticed this morning that everyone else missed. While traders were panicking about oil hitting $120 and overnight futures looking like death warmed over, I was watching something completely different. Something that told me this wasn't the apocalypse – it was compression about to snap. See, most people look at a morning…
Inflation Data is Costing You Money
Hey Trader, Gas prices are up 53% since January. The latest inflation report says prices are down. CPI data were wrong before the ink dried. That disconnect is already costing traders and consumers real money. Yet, it’s an opportunity for traders to make money. Below is the actual inflation math the CPI is missing, followed…
Monday, March 9, 2026 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Crude Over $100 — Volatility Is Backby Tony Rago The big macro driver this morning is crude oil pushing through the $100 level, and that move is bleeding into everything across the board. Higher energy prices tend to ripple through markets quickly — impacting inflation expectations, sentiment, and risk appetite. Equity futures initially gapped down…