Stagflation's Two Warning Signs
Blake Young just identified a commodity divergence that points straight to stagflation. Crude oil blew through resistance at $78 today and hit $81.04 while copper dropped 1.74% and is flashing sell signals. Rising energy costs plus falling copper demand is the textbook stagflation setup. Inflation without growth. Blake has been warning about an oil topping…
Options Rolls For Breakfast
Hey trader, The gamma pressure on Schlumberger just doubled. Someone closed the higher strike, reopened at a lower one, and paid a net debit to do it. You’ve probably heard about option “rolls.” But have you ever stopped to think about how to turn those into actionable trades? That’s what we’re going to dive into…
The Most Important Market Shift I've Discussed in 10 Years
Hey trader, The growth trade is over. Every stock in the market is about to get repriced. The rotation into value has officially begun. A research firm called Variant Perception just triggered their market correction signal. They have been bullish since April 7th. Their track record is nearly flawless. What they found confirms everything I…
Thursday, March 5, 2026 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Holding the Line — Bulls Test Momentumby Tony Rago Bulls managed to hold the rally through yesterday’s session, which now sets the stage for an important follow-through test today. On the board, the key level for me on NQ is 25,000, with 24,912 acting as the true line in the sand. If buyers can keep…
Nobody's Buying This Rally
The S&P 500 rallied 70 handles today. The expected move priced in exactly $69. The market called it to the penny. That precision should comfort you. It doesn't comfort me. Despite a 160 point bounce off Tuesday's lows, the volatility futures have not normalized. They are not even close. The term structure from April through…
You Won’t Believe Where Smart Money is Flowing
Hey trader, Short interest in the technology sector just hit its highest level since 2021. Put positioning in the S&P 500 is surging. Traders are piling into downside protection like the world is ending. Corporate insiders in tech are doing the exact opposite. They are buying at the fastest rate since 2020-2021. One side of…
The Biggest Buying Opportunity of 2026 Just Walked Through the Door
I've been preparing you for this moment. For months, I've been running my dynamic model - the system that tells me when it's time to flip, when it's time to abandon my previous position and pivot on a dime. That signal just fired. Look, I got bearish at the end of January…which for me means…
3 Trade Ideas That Go Against Today's "Everything's Fine" Rally
I just wrapped my the Big 3 segment on Schwab and had to share some contrarian thinking with viewers: Everyone's buying this bounce. Here are three trade ideas going the other direction. When markets gap up after geopolitical chaos and everyone breathes a sigh of relief... when "defensive" plays start rolling over just as volatility…
Your Pre-Built Bounce List
Hey trader, The market sold off hard yesterday. Declining stocks outnumbered advancing stocks by 20 to 1 in the first hour. VIX futures finished in backwardation. The VIX3M/VIX ratio closed below 1. Most traders saw chaos and froze. The ones who had a plan already knew where to look before the market opened today. That…
The Hidden Trade That Just Wiped 167 Points Off the S&P
Hey trader, The S&P 500 dropped 167 points in a single morning this week. Most traders pointed at headlines. The real cause was a structural options trade that almost nobody outside institutional desks even knows exists. It is called the dispersion trade. It unwound for exactly one day, and the damage was immediate. Here is…