Wednesday, April 8, 2026 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Big Move — Now We Waitby Tony Rago Overnight delivered a sizable move, and when price travels that far outside of regular hours, it tends to distort the usual structure we rely on at the open. That puts more weight on the opening range — the first stretch of price action after the bell —…
Tuesday, April 7, 2026 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Hanging Tough — But Something Feels Offby Tony Rago Crude pushing up near 115 pre-market while equities are holding firm above 24,000 and 6,600 — on the surface, that’s strength, but the tone feels a bit disconnected. When you see multiple markets stretched like this without clean continuation, it often leaves the door open for…
My Favorite Way to Trade Headlines
Hey trader, Headlines can move markets in a blink, whipping traders out of positions before they can even react. You do not have to let them control your trading. All you need is a plan you trust. That is what kept me grounded this week. Tuesday morning, I was walking the room through an ES…
Thursday, April 2, 2026 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Volatility on Deck — Sell the Rips by Tony Rago Big selloff overnight with crude pushing up to $109, setting the stage for expanded ranges and fast-moving price action. When you see that kind of pressure paired with elevated energy, it tends to spill over into equities and create sharper rotations on both sides. I’ll…
Wednesday, April 1st, 2026 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Squeeze Back to Resistanceby Tony Rago Strong squeeze out of that oversold pocket and we’ve now pushed right back into 24K on NQ and 6,600 on ES — levels that matter. When you get a move like that, fast and aggressive, the question shifts from direction to sustainability. Moves that go “too far too fast”…
Tuesday, March 31, 2026 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Headline Push — But Watch the Trapby Tony Rago Another headline hits and we’re seeing that familiar pre-market push higher, but the real question is whether this move has substance or is just another setup. I’m still leaning toward an upside move that could catch traders off guard — the kind that squeezes through positioning…
Monday, March 30, 2026 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Pushing Inventory — But Can It Stick?by Tony Rago Overnight inventory came in long, and you can see them trying to push price higher early — the question is whether that positioning fuels continuation or sets up a squeeze the other way. When inventory leans too far one direction, it often needs to rebalance, and…
Volatility Is Really Good at Dismantling People
Hey trader, Thursday morning, I was talking with Don Kaufman before my session, and we both agreed that too many people were getting taken apart this week. One line from that conversation stuck with me. "Volatility is really good at systematically dismantling people." We were not just talking about money. We were talking about what…
Friday, March 27, 2026 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Range Break — Expansion Modeby Tony Rago We’ve finally broken down out of that multi-month sideways range that’s been in place since November, and that shift in structure matters. When markets transition from balance to imbalance, it often opens the door for range expansion — and that’s where we are now. With VIX pushing up…
Thursday, March 26, 2026 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Sell the Rally — Until Proven Otherwiseby Tony Rago We’re still operating in a “sell the rallies” environment, and that framework hasn’t changed. As long as price remains below the 200-day moving average — a widely watched trend indicator that helps define longer-term direction — the bears maintain the edge. That doesn’t mean we won’t…