Energy's Rally Only Fuels Bears
Hey trader, Stocks sold off again last week. Geopolitical tensions kept pressure on equities, and the Dow led the decline for the second straight week. The Nasdaq sold off the least. That detail matters more than most people realize. I am going to break down what the sector rotation is actually telling us, why energy…
Time to Jump into Airline Stocks?
Hey trader, All anyone can talk about is oil, oil, oil. And for good reason. The Straight of Hormuz, where 20% of the world’s crude passes through, is closed. Higher prices hurt everyone from the daily drivers to airlines. Yet, the Genesis COG Scanner picked up a potential trade opportunity in American Airlines this morning:…
Monday, March 16, 2026 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
New Contract, Fresh Cluesby Tony Rago We’re officially rolling into the M contract starting today, which means traders will be navigating fresh levels and a new layer of positioning. One thing standing out early is the roll gap sitting below, which can act like a magnet for price if momentum starts leaning that direction. At…
35 Days, Not 97
Hey trader, A 97-day hedge in regional banks just got compressed to 35 days. The institution behind the trade closed a June put spread in KRE and reopened it for April 17. Same directional bet, same size, but 62 fewer days on the clock. If you own a hedge and the risk passes, you take…
I Missed the Entire Selloff…And Still Booked 250 Points Before Lunch.
Hey trader, Friday morning, the NQ sliced through yesterday's low like it wasn't even there. Price was falling, the tape was ugly, and I was sitting in a classroom teaching a masterclass. "Believe me, I'm sitting here teaching a class and I'm looking out like, 'I'm missing so much.'" The NQ was in free fall…
Oil Holds the Key to Everything Right Now
Hey trader, Nothing happens in a vacuum. For every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction somewhere. Even when it is not obvious at first. But if you can identify this path, you’ll know precisely what to do before the next move. The market's behavior over the past few weeks is a stark reminder…
The Oil Math Nobody Wants to Do
Gas prices are up 40%. The average American now pays roughly a dollar more per gallon than they did months ago. But the opportunity is not in hoping for cheaper oil… …it’s in trading the sectors that get crushed when energy costs stay elevated. You see, the gas price increase hits every household budget in…
$8 Per Share. Best I've Ever Seen. They Killed It Anyway.
Hey trader, My wife has an Ulta account. My daughter has one too. I drop them off once a week and sit in the parking lot while they spend an hour in there. I love Ulta. It is a fantastic business. Last week, the company reported eight dollars per share in earnings. That is…
No Panic Yet… But the Abyss Looms.
The S&P 500 is down 5% from its highs. That sounds dramatic until you realize we haven't seen a single day of real panic selling. Friday's advance decline line came in at fifty-fifty. You don't capitulate until you correlate, and we are nowhere close. Oil just closed at its highs, reaching for $100 a barrel.…
Big Tech Is Flat While the Market Breaks Down. That's Not Strength. That's Distribution.
NVIDIA, Google, Microsoft, Broadcom. All flat. All unmoved. The S&P grinding toward November closing lows and the biggest names in tech acting like nothing was happening. That's not strength. That's distribution. The Leaders Who Aren't Leading The S&P spent the morning grinding around 6700 — dangerous territory if you know what to look for.…