Buying Options into Apple's earnings
Stocks moved slowly higher today on very light volume. In tonight's video we look at 2 market movers in the next 24 hours. First, the critical level in bonds which could set stocks off to new highs. Second, the earnings announcement of the largest company on the planet - Apple. Watch this video for a…
Earnings Growth And GDP Growth Diverge
There’s an anomaly which is playing out in Q1. Earning growth is accelerating, while the economy is decelerating. This is a point I’ve been making for a few weeks. I expect the Q1 earnings growth rate to be the peak of the year and I expect GDP growth to remain weak throughout the year. This…
Budget Deadline Pushed To May 5th
Stocks sold off on Friday despite the earnings beats from Amazon and Alphabet on Thursday afternoon. They helped the Nasdaq be the best performing index for the day as it was down 0.02%. Because the big technology firms have no impact on the Russell 2000, it fell 1.18%. The weak GDP report was the negative…
Time to Buy Options?
Stocks slipped slightly on Friday as the expected move for the week once again holds. This is why we have been sharing these crucial levels week after week. As we look forward to this coming week we see a new record low implied volatility despite earnings, FOMC meeting, and unemployment numbers on Friday. Whatever your…
Bull and Bear Case For Earnings
As I mentioned in a previous article, earnings estimates vary widely. Anything can happen in a sense. The bull case before the election was that margins would increase to record highs. With the Trump tax cuts potentially in place, there are further tailwinds to earnings rising quickly. On the bear side, earnings estimates have been…
Atlanta Fed Says 0.2% Q1 GDP Growth
The Q1 GDP report will be released on Friday. Leading up the report, the Atlanta Fed’s GDP Now released its final estimate for Q1 which came in at 0.2% growth. This is down from 0.5% growth which makes it an outlier compared to the consensus GDP estimate. The estimate for real consumer spending growth fell…
After-Hours Earnings - Changing of the Guard
The markets today were patiently waiting for the big earnings announcements after the close. GOOGL and AMZN have both moved higher right to their expected moves that we have been watching. In tonight's video let's look at what to expect over the next few weeks...
Trump Releases Tax Reform Guidelines
In the lead up to the tax plan announcement, I made the point that if Trump was vague about his plan, stocks would rally on hope. Trump was vague, but it didn’t boost stocks because he was vague on the most important point stocks care about which is the repatriation tax holiday. Stocks care about…
Earnings Trades in GOOGL, AMZN and more!
Stocks end the day unchanged as the big tax reveal lacked the details the market needs to decide whether it's bullish or bearish. In tonight's video we will focus on the big earnings announcements of the week. Two of the biggest companies on the planet, GOOGL and AMZN, will release their latest quarterly numbers. Here…
Are Stocks Cheap Or Expensive?
The biggest question investors focused on earnings are trying to answer is how the gap between small cap and large cap firms’ margins will be closed. Either large cap firms will have their margins fall off the peak or small cap firms will see their margins rise to the 2013 peak. It’s possible that the…