Softer Data and a Stronger Market?
- Don Kaufman of TheoTrade discusses market conditions on November 15, 2023, noting the S&P 500's mild uptrend despite mixed economic data, with retail sales softer and Producer Price Index (PPI) in line with expectations. - Kaufman highlights unusual activity in the bond market, with high trading volume and a significant pullback from previous gains.…
Magnificent Market Moves or a High-Stakes Gamble?
--correlation kicks in and markets fly --pay attention to NASDAQ Expected Moves! --Fed speaks markets do not listen --Bond markets / auctions matter --Big economic data week (CPI report) SPX Expected Move -- --last week -- 62.04 (expected move) --next week-- 63.82 (expected move)
Markets too Quiet for Comfort?
Join Don in tonight's video as he answers the question, Are the Markets too Quiet for Comfort? Things remained relatively unchanged throughout today's trading session, however, we did see a pull back within the energy sector. It shows that oil trade is less about geopolitical risk and more about the possibility of an economic slowdown.…
Can the Fed Induced Upside Insanity Sustain Markets?
--FED speaks and markets rip --bid under bonds --Volatility check --disregard AAPL ? SPX Expected Move -- --last week -- 96.77 (expected move) --next week-- 80.43 (expected move)
Markets on Fire with Extreme Moves!
Markets exploded to the upside off the FED comments but traders are questioning the validity of the move. Are we headed higher or is this the quintessential rip your face off rally? Don will explore quantitatively how markets have exploded higher and what products you need to pay attention to for the rally to continue.
Are Markets Headed off the Magnificent Seven Cliff?
-Tech troubles sustained -Russell finding its inner bear -Financials have considerable implications -Bonds consolidated but not out of danger -The FED cometh and on strong data (GPD, spending) SPX Expected Move - -Last Week - 93.72 (expected move 5 day week) -Next Week - 96.77 (expected move 5 day week)
Markets are Back to the Volatility Hurt Locker!
Summary: 1. The markets have returned to a state known as the "volatility Hurt Locker", characterized by intense fluctuations, as indicated by the S&P 500's recent decline by about 53 handles. 2. A significant market level, 4211 in the S&P futures, is considered pivotal; trading below this number has historically resulted in high volatility and…
Market Mayhem: Bonds Down, Geopolitcal Risks Up
-Bonds have crashed -Vol elevated but is it high enough? -Tech getting dangerous with earnings coming -Risk/reward and capital preservation SPX Expected Move- -Last Week - 90.24 (expected move 5 day week) -Next Week - 93.72 (expected move 5 day week)
Geopolitical Crossroads: Risk Permeating Big Tech
- The market is currently at a geopolitical crossroads with risk increasingly affecting the tech sector. - Despite the market being down 1.3%, the SPX's expected moves suggest the market is relatively unchanged for the week. - Volatility indicators like VIX and volatility futures suggest heightened risk. VIX trading at around 20 signifies a more…
Nasdaq Caves under Geopolitical Risk
-risk metrics come alive -vol futures / VVIX -bonds bid -gold rips with dollar higher -energy sector holds markets together -inflation making a comeback -financials fade on strong earnings SPX Expected Move - -last week - 76.75 (expected move 5 day week) -next week - 90.24 (expected move 5 day week)