Market Unwind? From Rally to Recession
- The other-side of the gamma squeeze - Where is the volatility? - Are we really selling-off? Not TECH! - Inverted skews - Commodities sell-off, bonds rally - Position update SPX Expected Move - - Last week - 50.91 (Expected move 4 day week) - Next week - 54.73 (Expected move 5 day week)
Is it Time to Sell?
Markets feel chaotic, broken, and disconnected from all semblance of technicals and fundamentals as orderflow has shifted into the shortest duration possible. Don Kaufman explores what to look for when REAL sellers do arrive and details specific levels in the SPX that are critical make or break for markets in the days to come!
The Extremes of Markets Stress Test the Shorts!
-Gamma squeeze + short squeeze -Moves higher are not what they appear -FED, ECB more hikes ahead -CPI, PPI, Jobless claims -SPX EM upside shattered -Pposition updates SPX Expected Move -Last Week - 65.29 (expected move 5 day week) -Next Week - 50.91 (expected move 4 day week)
Are More Rate Hikes Bullish?
Fed pauses as expected, but then surprises the market with their expectation of 2 more rate hikes by the end of the year. They also increased their GDP estimate and lowered their unemployment expectation. Good economic news should be bullish, right? Here is the key level to watch for the remainder of the week...
Feel the Wrath of the NASDAQ!
- NQ finished the week FLAT! - Mega market cap squeezes invert IV skew - IV SKEW near record highs - Will FED place its PAWS on the markets? - The triple witch returns will volatility? Get your trade on - This week's Profits and Losses - Closed META bearish put spread - Closed /ES…
Tech Sellers Return with a Vengeance
Tech sector rattled while energy and financial stocks rally. After a massive run up in tech everyone in scrambling at once to rotate out of tech and into other sectors. Here's what to look for to see if the rotation will continue...
The Buy-Side Frenzy Continues!
- The range has been broken! - The breakout above 4230! - The up before the down? - Stocks no one wanted to touch being bought! - CAT, XLF, XLE, IWM Get your trade on - This week's profits and losses - Closed /ES 3300 short for 50% gain - Closed GLD in/out spread 30%…
Is Big Tech Beginning to Break?
Despite some sell-side activity in the S&P 500, the market made a comeback, although it didn't quite reach the crucial 4211 mark. There's a potential for a substantial dip if the market breaks below 4175. Some sectors, particularly financials and the energy sector, exhibited signs of weakness. Interestingly, there was a discernible rotation into areas…
A One Stock, Stock Market?
-Same range, 8 weeks in the books! -NVDA saved the markets -update XLP, XHB, IWM, SPY, XLF, XLE, DOW, QQQ -10 year rates and a FED Hike probability -dollar rally defensive? Get your trade on - This week's Profits and Losses -Closed BA in/out spread for a 55% gain -Opened GLD in/out call spread -Re-upped…
Will Any Debt Ceiling Deal Be Good for Markets?
NVDA comes out and crushes earnings sending the stock 3 standard deviations higher. Still all eyes are on the debt ceiling talks. Whether a debt ceiling deal will be good for markets largely depends on the specifics of the deal. If the U.S. defaults, or even comes close to defaulting on its debt because a…