Ghosts of 2008 Return to Markets?
-- One Bad Bank?? SIVB -- regional banks PNC, CBNK, CUBI, MCB, PACW, SBNY -- immediate resolution or panic at the disco? -- Russell crushed, Bonds explode, and Vol inverts -- Oh my CPI ! Get your trade on-- This week's Profits and Losses -- Catapults- bearish spreads hitting their stride ! -- in/out spread…
Are Financials the Canary in the Coal Mine?
In yesterday's video I said if the market was going to make another leg lower it would happen on the back of financials. Financials delivered that leg lower today as the market screamed systematic risk. The financial sector is on the verge of going to the 2020 crash levels just as inflation continues to rage…
Risk Builds as Markets Become Completely Data Dependent!
It seems like the year for the stock market hinges on the next 9 trading days. The theme of the last 2 days of Fed Chair Powell testimony is "data depended" and there's no shortage of crucial data over the next week. The market could go extreme in either direction based on any one of…
Why is 0DTE Changing the Face of Markets?
-3931 made an appearance! -bonds recovered and dollar faded -JPOW, Fed Funds, Jobs # -0DTE continues to move markets -Daily Expected Moves Get your trade on-- This week's Profits and Losses -covered short calls and puts SPY, QQQ, /ES, and /MES -Catapults short puts closed, it's a free ride from here ! -in/out spread MS…
Will Inflationary Fears Overwhelm Markets?
The bond market is reaching a precarious situation as the 10 year yield hits the critical 4% level. Any further selling in bonds has the potential to take down tech stocks sending the overall market lower. So far this week the market has been quiet, but a quiet market looking for a catalyst to explode…
Don Kaufman Talks About the Journey of Harvesting Olives to Hedging Risk with NewThinking
Excerpt from the article interview: The co-founder of TheoTrade breaks down option trading and how it can work for you. Option trading has become increasingly popular over the past two decades and is our primary focus at TheoTrade, a training education firm specializing in the education of stocks, options, and futures. In actuality, option trading…
Are the Bears Back in Town?
-Bulls fold under inflationary reality -3931 its back! -Financials / rates -If rally dollar is bad...this is going to hurt -What is the read on volatility? Get your trade on - This week's Profits and Losses -Covered short calls SPY, /ES, and /MES -Catapults on FIRE! -Opened new premium sales in SP500 -In/Out spread JPM…
The Good, the Bad, and the Market Getting Ugly?
Markets at a key inflection point. Bonds are the verge of sending rates to the highest they've been in a generation. The S&P is tangling on the edge of a cliff. The Fed minutes released today did nothing to sway the market in either direction. The next few days are crucial to markets.
U.S. News & World Report - Don Kaufman discusses $JNJ Inflation Protection
Excerpt from the article: "The Federal Reserve often raises interest rates during inflationary times to cool demand, which means that volatile stocks may sharply reverse," says Don Kaufman, co-founder of trading education platform TheoTrade. When screening for volatility, investors should focus on a stock's beta, which measures its sensitivity relative to the benchmark S&P 500. Generally, a…
Should Traders Fear 0 Day Expiration Risk?
-SP500 finished the week massively UNCHED! -reviewing sectors -0 DTE risk becomes the talk of the trading town! -SPX, SPY, and the /ES -suppression of volatility -dynamics of the hedge Get your trade on - This week's Profits and Losses -closed short calls for 50% gains x 3!! -opened new catapult /ES vs SBUX SPX…