Bring on the Bears!
After days of stalling the S&P 500 failed to get above the major trendline and sellers came in swinging. Financials fall outside its lower weekly expected move. The S&P has hit its lower edge of the Expected Move. Will the EM hold or are the bears back?
An Indecisive Market at an Inflection Point
-Above 3931 and away we go! -Financials eek out gains, do earning matter? -On the edge, of expected moves -Market stalling out? Get your trade on - This week's Profits and Losses -Covering short premium for 50% -Catapult VIX vs /ES -Inflection Point Spread micros SPX Expected Move- -last week - 98.31 (expected move 5…
Will the Rally withstand CPI?
The big bad binary event will be tomorrow as CPI is released. This pivotal data point can send the market screaming in either direction. Here's what you need to know before the major market event...
More Bull? Or Prepare for the Bear?
-Trade is sketchy…fast, broken -Jobs/durable goods -Rates / financials -Binary range is back 3800/3900 -Careful with your allocations, coin flip! Get your trade on-- This week's Profits and Losses -Covering short premium for 50% -Catapult TGT vs. /ES -Inflection Point Spread micros SPX Expected Move -last week - 84.01 (expected move 4 day week) -next…
Feeling the Wrath of the FED?
A blistering rally into the close doesn't shake off the fact that volatility still rules the markets and continues to show us just how dangerous trade can actually be, especially on an intraday basis. Tune in as Don breaks down today's tape and explains why we all must, "tread lightly" in the days and weeks…
Can you handle another year of extreme volatility?
Volatility will persist— —Dodd Frank —Volcker rule —bona fide hedging —cost of carry will pressure dealers —FED influence; we are not at zero% anymore! What will work in the new year— —Sell premium —reduce risk via actively hedging —catapult and infection point spreads Get your trade on-- This week's Profits and Losses -YTD P/L -New…
Unrelenting Selling into Year End
Stocks continue to sell as 2022 comes winding down. The S&P is a short distance away from the lower edge of the weekly expected which also coincides with the top of the next volatility box. The next 2 days will be crucial as it will determine if stocks can hold or if the S&P breaks…
Back to the Volatility Hurt Locker?
-volatility hurt locker! /ES 3800-3600 -focus shifts to AAPL (forget TSLA) -bonds backing (rates up) off but for how long? -financials will take damage if markets progress lower -do not look for surges in volatility... not yet! Get your trade on-- This week's Profits and Losses -closed all /ES options inventory with over 50% gains…
Is this all Santa has to Offer Markets?
Holiday tape has the markets bouncing higher, but the overall bearish theme remains. Here's a few stocks to watch for their next move lower. Plus the one stock so beaten up that I'm starting getting long...
Volatility Is an Options Trader’s Best Friend, Don Kaufman Says in Investor’s Business Daily
"This has actually been the best year I've had since the financial crisis of 2008," TheoTrade Chief Market Strategist Don Kaufman says in this Investor’s Business News story titled “Investing 2022: Painful or Profitable.” Don tells reporter Kathleen Doler that 2022 market conditions were no surprise. An excerpt from the story: “"You could see this one…