Are you Prepared for the Coming Volatility Shock?
-Getting ugly under 3931 -Can 2 sigma moves become the usual? -Volatility is ready to rock -Implications of spiking volatility -Bonds hit lows and the inversion grows -Dollar near highs but haven’t gone parabolic SPX Expected Move- -last week - 97.23 (expected move) -next week - 117.28 (expected move)
Are Markets on the Verge of Major Repricing?
Today was a day to remember in the markets. A quick and violent move right back to the 3931 gravity point has made this a high risk situation in the market. Here's what to look for the rest of the week...
Here's Why You Cannot Trust this Market Rally
-Bond Instability -Dollar Screaming Volatility -Energy Markets Poised for a Rebound -High Correlation -Complacency in Volatility -Statistical Insanity within Expected Move SPX Expected Move - - last week - 94.17 (expected move 4 day week) - next week - 97.23 (expected move)
Lack of Trading Hurts Crypto, Don Kaufman Tells CoinDesk TV
Lack of derivatives is hurting crypto, TheoTrade Chief Market Strategist Don Kaufman told CoinDesk TV in this “All About Crypto” segment. “As a trader, I want to be able to get in and out of a trade in seconds,” Don said. “With crypto, you can only go long or short. You’re throwing matches in a…
Can the Rally Survive the ECB?
Tomorrow the markets have a binary event with the ECB announcement. Expectations are for a 75bp increase. Canada just raised 75bp and the FOMC's 75 bp rate increase in 2 weeks is all but certain. This does not mean an immediate bearish event as these rate hikes are probably priced in. However, be prepared with…
Is this Relentless Selling Only the Beginning?
volatility complex is frightening -VVIX -vol futures -VIX -SKEW dollar broke out you need to see this bond chart there is NO good place under /ES 3931 SPX Expected Move -last week - 107.81 (expected move) -next week - 94.17 (expected move 4 day trading week)
When an Oversold Market Does Not Matter!
Stocks continue to sell off and the S&P marches closer to the lower edge of the weekly expected move. Here's what you need to know about volatility and why the lower edge of the expected move may not hold for the 2nd week in a row...
Fed Strikes Fear into Markets
--SPX and the two sigma beast --FED tone inflicts damage --last week meme was back, now... fear and loathing --investor psychology damaged goods --/ES we lost 4211 in a hurry; 3931 on deck --volatility has yet to awaken SPX Expected Move -- --last week -- 82.25 (expected move) --next week-- 107.81 (expected move)
Are YOU Prepared for a FED FEST?
As the S&P dangles on the edge of the lower expected move for the week the market waits to hear from the Fed at Jackson Hole. Here's why the market is in a very dangerous position over the next 2 days and any catalyst can spark massive selling...
Did Sellers Just Reignite Market Fears?
-Back to 4211? -Inflation fears resurface -Bonds sell / Rates Rip -Financials hit hard in a rising rate environment -Crypto crushed -volatility NOT making the move we expect -critical equity and index moves SPX Expected Move -- --last week -- 75.87 (expected move) --next week-- 82.25 (expected move)