Did We Just See an END to the Rally?
It's been a one way rally for 2 months straight and of course bears are asking when will the rally end? There's several topping out signs. In tonight's video we explore some possible trade ideas for the weeks ahead.
Fed Pivot or Market Divot?
-Freight Train of inflation 9.1% to 8.5% -What do FED Futures say? -Back to the bull... market? -Pull back or puke? the Gamma Squeeze is on! -Historical vol still raging -Skew up -Dollar remains defensive -driving sectors and looking for a reversal SPX Expected Move -- --last week -- 87.47 (expected move) --next week--…
Implied Volatility and Debt Hurting Crypto Says Don Kaufman on CoinDesk TV
TheoTrade co-founder Don Kaufman appeared on CoinDesk TV to discuss the headwinds facing crypto. Implied volatility has fallen quite considerably, said Don, and there’s been a bit of decoupling between Bitcoin and the NASDAQ, a situation he expects to reverse in the near future. Another concern is the huge “cost of carry” built into Bitcoin,…
How are Markets Reacting to Cooling Inflation?
Cooler inflationary readings send S&P's soaring to the upside in today's trading session as we reached the 4211 gravity point that was discussed over the weekend. So, how are the markets reacting to all of this? Tune in to tonight's video to find out...
Good News and Trades Gone Bad?
-528k jobs shocks markets -Fuel for the FED, 75bps here we come -sector rotations considerable XLF, XLE, QQQ -Bonds crushed, tech feelin' the pain? -can inflation be tamed with dollar raging higher? -CPI shall define this market SPX Expected Move -- --last week -- 80.79 (expected move) --next week-- 87.47 (expected move)
Market Rally or Market Ruse?
The S&P rally is closing in on our gravity point exactly as we expected. Now is a great time to start nibbling on the short side again with the risk/reward in your favor. Here are the kind of trades I'm starting to put on in anticipation of the move to come in the next few…
Inflation, Rate Hikes, Recession, and a Rippin’ Rally?
-Bad news is back to good? -GDP declines… again! -PCE flyin' high- inflation matters? -Earnings are bifurcated! -AAPL, AMZN, INTC, ROKU, PG, XOM -mega market cap saves the day -IV drops but realized vol still flying -reality of the rally -bears done or is this just the beginning? -SKEW, I think it moved? -VIX floor?…
Can Markets Handle Aggressive FED Rate Hikes?
FOMC raises 75 basis points which was expected. Jerome Powell's comments were slightly more dovish than expected which led to a massive rally. Here's what to expect the rest of the week...
Here is Why an Onslaught of Volatility is Coming
--FMOC is BACK, markets say 75bps --sector recap --respect the move in SNAP --fear the moves in T and VZ --big week for tech earnings / calendar packed --dollar weak, bonds strong, equites weak --metals to make a comeback! --Vol trade, low VVIX won't last SPX Expected Move -- --last week -- 87.83 (expected…
Staggering Degree of Risk in Crypto, Don Kaufman Says in TV Interview
Bitcoin rebounded to almost 24,000 yesterday, the highest price in over a month. Bitcoin is up 20% in the past week. Is it time to jump back into crypto? A resounding no says TheoTrade’s Chief Market Strategist Don Kaufman. “There has to be absolute utter despair in the marketplace before we hit a bottom,” Don…