Are Markets Saying Something About a Recession?
- CPI & FED - Big, Bad and Binary Movement! - 3931 held up through the roll - Have markets priced in a recession? - Confused trade in bonds - Volatility or lack thereof but SKEWs back! - Does Xmas stop the selling? - High prob of back to the VOL BOX! Get your trade…
Are You Afraid of the FED Monster?
CPI numbers came out soft sparking a major rally and then the whole rally from when CPI came out was reversed. The S&P is in the middle of 2 key levels and yes there's a chance we could hit the upper and lower level this week. FOMC event is tomorrow with all ears focused on…
Markets on Alert! Is Catastrophic Risk Imminent?
-oil screams recession imminent -reality sets in with a hot ppi, are you afraid? -moment of truth, here comes CPI and FED -it’s all binary; you best be ready! -calculating next week's risk in your portfolio Get your trade on-- This week's Profits and Losses - XLP out, covering more shorts, XLE, AAPL intraday -new…
Are Markets In the Midst of Repricing Downside Risk?
Stocks are sitting in a precarious position already moving 2 standard deviations for the week and hanging on to a key gravity point level. With several risk events next week traders and investors are reducing their positions to wait for the risk events to pass. Here's the key level in TSLA to watch because if…
Are Markets Trading in the Upside-Down?
-Market of Data Dependency! -JPOW -Fed goes dove? -263k - Employment situation beats -Weeks worth of moves in minutes -Next big boy data Dec 13, 14th -Sector updates.. XLF, XLE, QQQ Get your trade on - This week's Profits and Losses - covering short premium /ES, QQQ, SPY intraday - new ideas, XLP (retail in…
Powell Pounds the Bears into Hibernation!
Today's explosive rally, brought to you by Jerome Powell, reminds us all that volatility, in this marketplace, is far from over. In addition, there remains an immense amount of risk, still to come, in the employment numbers due out this Friday morning. It may also stand to reason, that we may see a slight pullback…
Don Kaufman on CoinDesk TV: Volatility Ahead. The Regulators Are Coming. Why That’s Good News for Crypto
TheoTrade co-founder Don Kaufman appeared on “All About Bitcoin” yesterday for the 12th time this year. CoinDesk TV calls on Don for expert insight into regulation, trading activity, and prospects for crypto. Don appeared on yesterday’s show with Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Commissioner Summer K. Mersinger, to discuss regulation in light of BlockFi and FTX…
Digital Currency Is Inevitable, Says Don Kaufman in This NTD Business TV Interview
The U.S. may promote its own Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) after the FTX collapse resulted in investors losing billions. With CBDC you would use your app instead of the physical currency we now use. This is a new idea that is being considered globally. Singapore and India are looking into launching their own CBDC’s. …
When Will Reality Meet the Markets?
Is Santa's Rally Coming? -Sector update - QQQ, XLF, XLE, XRT, XLP, XLU -jobs is coming! -too data dependent, cannot bank on ANY move! Volatility is on the move- -SKEW, VVIX higher -will VIX follow suit? Get your trade on - This week's Profits and Losses - GOOGL, /ZB, limited range great for premium sales…
Turkey or Dove? What were in the FOMC Minutes?
Market grind higher in holiday tape. This is a time to be cautious as SKEW and the VIX have started to rise. Markets are getting up to a few key areas. The next 2 weeks will have critical data coming out that will determine the Feds next move. Have a Happy Thanksgiving.