Tech Titans Teetering: Apple and Nvidia Shift Markets
In "Tech Titans Teetering: Apple and Nvidia Shift Markets," we delve into the recent market fluctuations involving two of the tech industry's giants, Apple and Nvidia. As these monsters of tech undergo notable shifts, their trajectories are causing ripples across the technology sector. This analysis sheds light on the potential implications and future outlook for…
Why is Bad Economic Data Boosting the Stock Market?
—Bonds —options activity in Tech —bad economic times so good ? —Skew / volatility —strong dollar inflationary warning ? Get your trade on-- This week's Profits and Losses --covered /ES puts 50% gain --opened /ES strangle against existing hedges --closed TLT bullish in/out spread 55% gain SPX Expected Move-- -last week- 66.85 (expected move 5…
Should Bad Data Rally Markets?
This week there's been an onslaught of bad economic news which points to a recession. Yet the markets rally based on the belief that bad news is good news for the stock market. The Fed will have to cut rates to stabilize the economy. However, with inflation still running hot we are at a unique…
Volatility has Cracked this Market Wide Open!
-Has the AI Unwind Begun? -Bonds are a critical destabilizing factor -High correlation prevalent -Two-sided trade will remain -strong dollar could re-ignite inflation SPX Expected Move- -last week - 79.28 (expected move 5 day week) -next week - 66.85 (expected move 5 day week)
The NVDA Aftermath!
The much anticipated NVDA earnings were released and blew away revenue and earnings expectations. Yet NVDA only went to the edge of it's expected move and so far has stayed inside it. The SPX will open tomorrow at the edge of the upper end of the weekly expected move. I'll be using this as…
The Volatility Beast Rises
— China economic contagion — watch vol crush in rallies — tech is down but not out — volatility backwardation is close — a rally in bonds? — economic slowdown? oil takes a hit Get your trade on-- This week's Profits and Losses -Closed /MES calls 50% gain -Closed UAL in/out spread 55% gain -Opened…
AI Stocks Bubble Popping or Buy-the-Dip?
In tonight's video, Don breaks down the trade action in today's sell side activity, and takes a closer look at AI stocks and whether or not this is perhaps a "Buy-the-Dip" buy opportunity or is the AI stock bubble popping? What about implied volatility and why is volume so stagnant? Join Don and find out…
Are we Headed into a Technology Volatility Storm?
-Correlation comes to life! -Critical levels MSFT, TSLA, NVDA, META, and AAPL -Bonds/Notes are pressing lows -Dollar strength -Energy is strong but YTD performance may suggest assets managers running for cover Get your trade on - This week’s Profits and Losses -XLF in/out - closed 55% return -/ES 4800 and 4900 calls closed for 50%…
Did Market Volatility Just Awake?
The most important CPI number of the year will be out at 8:30 AM ET tomorrow morning. With the SPX almost unchanged on the week we still have a weekly Expected Move of 78 points that could be hit in either direction. Be comfortable with your risk because the report could send the markets rocking…
A Rally Back, or Ready for Another Smack?
-Correlation nonexistent -Market fear making a comeback? -Bonds/Rates are of critical concern -If inflation upticks, expect vol to rage! SPX Expected Move- -Last Week - 54.13 (Expected Move 5 Day Week) -Next Week - 78.59 (Expected Move 5 Day Week)