Bonds Recover but Risk Still Looms Large
An important CPI number comes out Thursday morning which has the potential set the tone for the rest of the month until the Fed's next meeting. Here's the #1 tool I will be looking at tomorrow to determine whether the next move is higher or lower...
Bond Markets Tank! Analyzing the Impact on Major Indices
-Bonds continue panic selling, damage report? -Unrealized losses regional banks and brokers -Bond volatility and IV rank -watch retail - WMT, COST hit hard -Tech saves the market but for how long? SPX Expected Move-- -last week - 80.35 (expected move 5 day week) -next week - 76.75 (expected move 5 day week)
What Will Break First Equities or Bonds?
The big question in the markets today is what's going to break first? Equities or Bond markets? With a big rip back to the upside today, the low volume doesn't quite look right. One thing that really held the market back today was the Energy sector. What about financials? Join Don in tonight's video to…
Markets Unhinged: Bonds, Dollar, and the Tech-tastrophy!
—Forget about interest rates now its about panic —dollar strength, inflationary and a hedge! —Tech-tastrophy the selling hasn’t even begun —lack of volatility is lack of correlation —no federal government data SPX Expected Move-- -last week - 83.90 (expected move 5 day week) -next week - 80.35 (expected move 5 day week)
The FED Fueled Fantasy may be coming to an END!
The stock market is currently unstable, and despite a seemingly calm day in the S&Ps, the session is volatile, akin to a wild ride. - Don highlights that the Federal Reserve's influence on the market, termed the "FED fueled fantasy," might be nearing its end. - Observations from the trading session: - The bond market…
Markets Too Big Not to Fail: Is a Tech Crisis Looming?
—FED lit the fuse —Bonds on the verge of a fire sale? —Volatility threat on higher SKEW —disproportionate market cap targets —confluence of equity, geopolitical, commodity issues Get your trade on-- This week's Profits and Losses --covered /ES calls +50% gain --covered /MES calls +50% gain --WMT 30% gain, MSFT 50% gain --opened short premium…
Did you Fight the Fed?
The age-old adage "Don't fight the Fed". Unpack the implications of going against the Federal Reserve's monetary policies and the potential outcomes for investors and the economy at large. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just curious about the workings of the financial world, "Did You Fight the FED?" provides insights and analysis.
All Quiet on the Inflation Front?
--tech took a collective hit --triple witching hedges coming off --FEDs back in town! --bonds, continuation to the downside? --oil, dollar, vol Get your trade on-- This week's Profits and Losses --covered /ES calls +50% gain --covered /MES calls +50% gain --WMT, MSFT updates SPX Expected Move-- --last week-- 59.21 (expected move 5 day…
Inflation is Back: Navigating the Stalled Market
Don discusses the current state of the market. He notes a noticeable stagnation in the market with minimal trade action and significant bifurcations, particularly in the tech sector. Despite the current lull, he suggests that this might be an opportune time to sell options premiums, anticipating a volatility crush. However, he warns of potential volatility…
Tech is Down but Far from Out!
—tech bifurcation —triple witching and the /ES roll —CPI, PPI, and the chaos of economic data —small caps, RUT getting ripped! —strong dollar, higher rates indicate risk ahead Get your trade on-- This week's Profits and Losses --covered /ES calls +50% gain --covered /MES calls +50% gain SPX Expected Move-- -last week - 47.56 (expected…