Leveraged Loans Decline For The First Time in 16 Months
Working Age Men Show Improvement Even though the headline jobs report missed, there were enclaves of strength. As you can see in the bottom chart, the labor force participation rate among men aged 25-54 increased to 89% on a seasonally adjusted basis. This is about a 1% improvement from the bottom which was hit in…
Are You Ready for the Shift into a Trader's Market?
In the shortened first trading week of the year the S&P 500 moved higher by more than 2 standard deviations. We haven't seen such a significant move since December 2016. Watch this crucial weekend video to find out the next major shift in the market and how to profit and protect yourself...
BLS Report Disappoints As Only 148,000 Jobs Were Created
Stocks Press Their Luck The first week of trading in 2018 ended with a bang as the S&P 500 was up 0.7% on Friday. It is up 2.6% year to date already. At this impossible pace, most year end price targets will be met by the end of the month. I remain steady in my…
The Bottom 90% Rely On Pension Funds
Stocks Power Higher In 2018 The stock market continued on its torrid pace in 2018 as it was up again on Thursday. The S&P 500 was up 0.4%. This is the third straight day with a record. The last time the S&P 500 started off the year with 3 straight records was 1964 (it did it…
Looking for Whale Trades in Rotation
2018 starts the year with 3 up days in a row as the Dow hit 25,000 for the first time. In tonight's video we look at which stocks money will be flowing into next. Watch this video to find out the scanner to use and the stocks that are setting up to breakout next...
Junk Bond Spreads The 4th Tightest To Start A Year Since 1998
2018 Starts Off With A Bang The stock market is looking like it’s about to do the impossible, have a repeat performance of 2017 which was in the 99th percentile in terms of risk versus return. The first two days have been great. In the S&P 500, the first two days of 2017 were up…
Expected Move Breached! Let's Trade It!
Stocks continue to move higher in 2018 as the S&P trades above the expected move for the week. In tonight's video let's analyze a high probability trade set up that you can use if you think the S&P will end the week within the expected move. Watch this video to find out the trade and…
Could Rising Oil Prices Help The Economy?
TV Sentiment For The Next 12 Months The chart below shows the financial TV sentiment for the economy, stocks, volatility, emerging markets, inflation, treasury yields, and commodities from 2013 to 2018. It’s amazing to see how this sentiment indicator had almost 100% optimism for inflation in 2017, but inflation didn’t perk up. As a result…
2018 Won’t Be A Repeat Of 2017
Global Equities & EM Debt Should Have A Solid 2018 The chart below shows the major asset classes’ performance in 2017. Global equities were up 23.9%. I expect a smaller increase this year because equities in many markets were left for dead in 2016. Optimism is now high, meaning it’s tougher to meet expectations. Even…
Changing Your Approach to Momentum Plays
Happy New Year! Stocks start the new year where they left off and continue to trend higher. In tonight's video let's analyze momentum set ups. Watch this video to find out how to change your approach to momentum plays in 2018 so you're not left on the sidelines watching stocks move without you...