Timing The Late Cycle
The Other Model Indicators Let's take a look at the indicators in the macro model to see whether the stock market is overvalued and if the economy is late in the cycle. In my opinion, many of the indicators are distorted making this model a talking point rather than actionable advice. I skipped the consumer…
Interest Rates Rise with a Falling Dollar, the Perfect Storm
The S&P exploded passed the expected move for the third week of the year. No where in recent history, up or down, has there been such inefficiency in the market. Watch this crucial weekend video newsletter update to find out why the market is inefficient and what the opportunities are for you to protect your…
Is The Market Near A Top?
Extremely Extended Bull Market According to the RSI, the Dow was the most bullish since 1904 three days ago and it has been up since then! With records being topped, it’s interesting to see a comprehensive look at a bunch of indicators. The macro model below does just that as it shows the periods since…
Investors Ignore The $40 Billion In Q4 Write-Offs
Almost Every Streak In The Book Broken On Thursday, stocks went from a gain to a loss as some investors wondered if the market would finally fall. Alas, the market righted the ship and it closed about flat. The biggest down days we’ve seen are when the market gives back some of its gains, but…
Are These Sleeper ETFs About to Awaken?
The dollar index continues to take a beating dropping below the crucial 90 level as the administration says they are okay with a weak dollar. In tonight's video newsletter we analyze sleeper ETFs that are poised to make a big move thanks to the weak dollar. Watch this video to find out why the options…
Steve Mnuchin Sends Dollar To A 37 Month Low
Dollar Is Crashing? Manufacturing is being helped by the declining dollar. As you can see from the chart below, the dollar has been in a one way path downwards. The DXY hit a 37 month low as it’s down against every major currency in the past year. The daily sentiment index for the dollar is…
Euphoria Continues As Investors Beg For A Correction
Stock Market Still Overheated There have been many odd records this year which you normally don’t hear about. That’s what happens when the S&P 500 hits a new record almost every day. I’m not exaggerating with that statement. As you can see from the chart below, the S&P 500 hit a new high in 12…
The Dollar Dives and Volatility Comes Alive
The dollar continues to get driven lower while interest rates rise and stocks get shifty. Watch tonight's video newsletter to find out why you need to keep a close on your positions for the remainder of the week... To learn "how to increase the probability of profit of your trades" watch this free online seminar…
Bank Of America Capitulates By Raising Its Year End S&P 500 Price Target
S&P 500 Has A Great Year In 3 Weeks The stock market has already had a good performance for the year with about 3 weeks in the books. The 6.22% return in the S&P 500 this year means the market has already pushed passed some full year projections. The euphoria is real as the market not…
Speculative Exposure At An Unprecedented Level
Traders Don’t Care About Protection The price of the puts compared to calls is 2 standard deviations below the 5 year average as you can see in the chart below. You would think with stocks going up in a straight line, investors would seek to buy protection to lock in their gains. However, euphoria makes…