Fed Raises Rates & The Dot Plot Moves Higher
GOP Set To Vote On Tax Plan Next Week The House and Senate have been in conference this past week. They have agreed upon a plan in principal. Some minor variables need to be solved. The goal is to have the votes early next week. The party leaders say they have enough votes to pass…
2018 Could See A 4.3% Increase In The S&P 500
Analysts Have Been Very Bullish Every year analysts are bullish. Heading into 2008, analysts expected the S&P 500 to go up when you use their bottom up target price estimate. It’s not a bad idea to expect stocks and earnings to move up each year since they usually go up. For sell side research, it’s…
Bitcoin Futures Launch but Here is the Real Bubble
Stocks end the day unchanged as the Fed did exactly what they were expected to do and raise the Fed Funds rate by 25 basis points. With everyone talking about the bitcoin bubble they're missing the real bubble. Watch this video to find out what that bubble is and how to protect your portfolio. Also,…
Fast Casual Restaurants Have A Terrible 2017
Restaurant Sales Sag The restaurant sales growth has been rough in 2016 and 2017. Previously, restaurant sales were thought to be an indicator of future economic growth. This is why you need to always question every indicator. There’s no full proof method that will give you results when it comes to trading, investing, or predicting…
A Cryptocurrency Crash Likely Wouldn’t Cause Aftershocks
Options Adjusted Bond Spread We’ve discussed that at this point in the business cycle the yield spread between treasuries and junk bonds usually increases to reflect the increased risk in the market. The chart below is a great depiction of the options adjusted bond spread because it shows the various percentile levels in the past…
Bubbles, Rotation, and Bitcoin Futures
S&P and Dow saw new all time highs today while the NASDAQ and small cap stocks lagged behind. Watch this video market update for analysis of where the market is going next. Plus find out the latest in Bitcoin Future trading. Also, to learn more about How to Reduce Risk and Maximize Your Returns watch…
2018 Marks The Beginning of The End Of the Business Cycle
Bitcoin Futures Overshadow Record Day For Stocks Monday saw the Dow reach its 66th all-time high this year which is 3 shy of tying the record. The S&P 500 was up 0.32% and the VIX was down 2.51% to 9.34. Even with the market putting an explanation point on its great year, Bitcoin stole the headlines…
Stocks Are About To Have Their First Perfect Year
Tax Bill Update Previous articles have shown estimates of the GOP tax plan done by the Joint Tax Committee which have it leading to high deficits and not much economic growth. To counter some of its negativity, I have the chart below which shows that the CBO underestimated the GDP growth in 2003 after the…
The Atomic Hedge is Here
Stocks slowly drift higher today and less than 1% from their all time highs across the board. This is the perfect time to access your risk across all of your trading and investment accounts. Watch this crucial video market update to learn how to analyze what your risk is and one strategy you can use…
Restaurant Sales Decline In November
BLS Reports Shows Great Jobs Growth The BLS Report beat the ADP report as it showed 228,000 jobs were added in November. This beat expectations by 28,000. The October report was revised lower by 17,000 and the September report was revised up by 18,000, making the revisions a wash. It’s interesting to see that the…