Are Markets Headed off the Magnificent Seven Cliff?
-Tech troubles sustained -Russell finding its inner bear -Financials have considerable implications -Bonds consolidated but not out of danger -The FED cometh and on strong data (GPD, spending) SPX Expected Move - -Last Week - 93.72 (expected move 5 day week) -Next Week - 96.77 (expected move 5 day week)
Taking Advantage of Bond Market Volatility
In today's video we look at increased volatility in bond prices. We discuss a possible bounce and bond yield peak. We also discuss which areas of the market should benefit from peak yields.
Markets are Back to the Volatility Hurt Locker!
Summary: 1. The markets have returned to a state known as the "volatility Hurt Locker", characterized by intense fluctuations, as indicated by the S&P 500's recent decline by about 53 handles. 2. A significant market level, 4211 in the S&P futures, is considered pivotal; trading below this number has historically resulted in high volatility and…
Earnings Surprises and Expected Volatility: Your Guide for this Week of Wildness
We're seeing higher than usual volatility both in headline news risk but also major stocks reporting earnings before and after the bell. While we continue to see higher risk in higher volatility, along with surprises, we're also seeing aggressive trading opportunities as well. Here's your guide to the earnings past, present, and yet to come.
Treasury Bond Bears Capitulate in Five Words
Markets temporarily reversed following a message on X by Bill Ackman. The five word message, "We covered our bond short." With yields testing 5%, it;s a natural position to cover, but it's the implications that are both bullish for bonds and largely bearish for the market. (OXY, NEE, WPM, GDX, FXI, MARA, TLT).
Market Mayhem: Bonds Down, Geopolitcal Risks Up
-Bonds have crashed -Vol elevated but is it high enough? -Tech getting dangerous with earnings coming -Risk/reward and capital preservation SPX Expected Move- -Last Week - 90.24 (expected move 5 day week) -Next Week - 93.72 (expected move 5 day week)
Predicting the Unpredictable: Analyzing Geopolitical Risks and Market Performance
In today's video we discuss Geopolitical risks and uncertainty, focussing on Middle Eastern conflict and we review major events in recent history and the impact on oil and the U.S. economy. We also look at a pairs trade opportunity during these moments of risk, considering a trade in favor of consumer staples over consumer discretionary.
Geopolitical Crossroads: Risk Permeating Big Tech
- The market is currently at a geopolitical crossroads with risk increasingly affecting the tech sector. - Despite the market being down 1.3%, the SPX's expected moves suggest the market is relatively unchanged for the week. - Volatility indicators like VIX and volatility futures suggest heightened risk. VIX trading at around 20 signifies a more…
The Stock Market is Resilient but How Long Will it Last? Your Mid-October Update
We're continuing to see resilience in the US Stock Market in the headwinds of otherwise bearish or bad news, but is this the beginning of a larger rally or may the resiliency come to an end soon? In tonight's video, we pinpoint what's keeping stocks strong and then highlight the recent strength in Oil and…
Gamma Squeeze as Monsters of Tech UOA Rallies Market
A lot of bullish unusual option activity across the "Monsters of Tech" as traders look to create a gamma squeeze higher amidst a bevy of earnings announcements from the banking sector. Bearish UOA on USB and OZK points to a more uncertain outlook. (AMZN, MSFT, AMD, NVDA, RIOT, DQ, XRT, XLE, XOP)