-Rate cut mania -capital rotations are epic -financials rip in lower rates? -PM/hedge panic -SKEW record, VVIX makes it interesting -high impact moves in a low vix continue SPX Expected Move -- --last week -- 64.66 (5-day expected move) --next week-- 55.44 (5-day expected move)
In today's video we look at equity and commodity responses to the Fed Policy Pivot. We compare the wild swings in equities to the sustained lift in commodities as a sign of a return of cheap money and rising inflation.
Jerome Powell's words fuel a market rally! In this evening's video, Don Kaufman explains the latest actions taken by the FOMC and the widespread market surge triggered by Jerome Powell's reinforced dovish stance on Federal Reserve policy.
Stocks are seeing positive signs such as semiconductors breaking out to new multi-year highs. But with Fed Chair Powell set to speak tomorrow after the Fed announcement, could bulls be walking into a trap?
As the S P 500 pushes to another new 52-week high, is the FOMC announcement setting up for the next pain trade. The "pain trade" when a widely-followed strategy or industry makes a sudden turn against expectations. An example, was the short U.S. Treasury rally. It was a "pain trade" for bond bears.
-Low VIX but high volatility? -isn't good jobs bad ? -Risky Business and the FED -Triple witching and the /ES roll -Dollar and bonds have reversed -C, GOOGL, LULU SPX Expected Move - -last week - 57.36 (5-day expected move) -next week - 64.66 (5-day expected move)
In today's video we look at the 3 main drivers or correlations to the NASDAQ. We discuss the U.S. dollar, borrowing rates and AI's influence on the movement of tech stocks. We also look for the strong stocks that should remain strong if rates continue lower and the weak stocks that should sell off i
Market Volatility and Santa Claus Rally: There's emerging volatility in the stock market, raising questions about whether the typical Santa Claus rally will happen. The S P 500 and NASDAQ are experiencing fluctuations, but these are within the expected daily move, suggesting the markets haven't reac
Despite the rebound in the U.S. Dollar, stocks have held their recent gains well, and we continue to see leadership from key sectors like technology. The bond market seems to be pricing in more disinflation, especially as crude oil falls to new multi-month lows.
