Nasdaq Caves under Geopolitical Risk
-risk metrics come alive -vol futures / VVIX -bonds bid -gold rips with dollar higher -energy sector holds markets together -inflation making a comeback -financials fade on strong earnings SPX Expected Move - -last week - 76.75 (expected move 5 day week) -next week - 90.24 (expected move 5 day week)
Inflation Will Not Die but May Kill the Markets
In today's video we look at inflation and the impact on equity values and inflation adjusted PE ratios. We discuss historic high levels in PE ratios and low Dividend Yield levels. We also compare the S&P 500 to a risk free premium reached 2.5 times the level seen in 2008...
Bonds Recover but Risk Still Looms Large
An important CPI number comes out Thursday morning which has the potential set the tone for the rest of the month until the Fed's next meeting. Here's the #1 tool I will be looking at tomorrow to determine whether the next move is higher or lower...
Inflation and Earnings Ahead: Your Key to Unlocking this Wild Week
We're continuing to see a very resilient market that is rallying in the face of seemingly bearish major headlines. In tonight's report, we pinpoint what's going on with the strength in equities and how it all fits in the broader 'sideways' trading range in the market and the economy that is skirting through the middle…
Columbus Day Geopolitical Jitters Shrugged Off as USD Weakens
While the bond market remained closed on today's Columbus Day holiday, it was stocks that shrugged off the oil's bounce to finish higher. The levitation may disappear if bond market vigilantes come calling, but the dollar's weakness should be a wake-up call for the market and inflation. (OXY, URNM, KWEB, EWJ).
Bond Markets Tank! Analyzing the Impact on Major Indices
-Bonds continue panic selling, damage report? -Unrealized losses regional banks and brokers -Bond volatility and IV rank -watch retail - WMT, COST hit hard -Tech saves the market but for how long? SPX Expected Move-- -last week - 80.35 (expected move 5 day week) -next week - 76.75 (expected move 5 day week)
The Tech Bubble: Is History Repeating Itself?
In today's video we compare interest rates, debt rates and GDP in our current AI frenzy and the tech bubble of 2000 as well as 2008. We also discuss Market Valuations and GDP ratios or the buffet indicator.
What Will Break First Equities or Bonds?
The big question in the markets today is what's going to break first? Equities or Bond markets? With a big rip back to the upside today, the low volume doesn't quite look right. One thing that really held the market back today was the Energy sector. What about financials? Join Don in tonight's video to…
Fed Fall-Out Continues with Bonds and Stocks Sliding to Start October
We continue seeing the selling taking place after the Federal Reserve announced it was committed to combatting ever-creeping inflation trends with higher interest rates for longer. The result has been a new wave of progressive selling in stocks and a sharp drop in bonds as interest rates climbed higher right on cue. In tonight's…
Bond Blowout Spills Over...What's Next?
Treasury bonds sold as yields reach new multi-year highs across the curve. Interest rate sensitive sectors sold off hard today in response as Utilities finished over 4% lower on the session. With Technology, Cyclicals and Communications finishing higher, let's talk about the market's next move.(SCHW, LQD, ALLY, NEE, XLU).