Can Santa Claus Deliver for Stocks into Year-End?
As we come to the final trading days of 2023, markets are finally in the renowned Santa Claus Rally period as bulls look to leave their mark on another year. In this video, we talk about our trade in Coinbase (COIN) as well as other bullish signals brewing under the surface in the overall market.
Is the Grinch Coming for your Portfolio?
—risk management out the window —economic slowdown and forecasts (NKE, FDX) —rate cut projections appear ridiculous —two sided trading returns —options markets starting to price risk SPX Expected Move -- --last week -- 55.44 (5-day expected move) --next week-- 57.87 (4-day expected move)
Is the Correlation Between Energy and Utilities Broken?
In today's video, we look at the expected correlation with energy prices and utilities performance. We look at the stronger correlation between utilities and inflation and inverse correlation between interest rates and utilities.
Market Harkens a Reversal on Fed Speak: Your Guide to the Long-Awaited Reversal
After 7 weeks of seemingly non-stop upside action in most equity markets, we saw a sharp, long-awaited reversal take stocks lower from their intraday highs. In tonight's video, we pinpoint the "Fed Speak" that may have triggered the avalanche selling, discuss how it impacted the broader markets, and what impact its having beyond the stock…
Metals, Cryptos & AI: The Future of Investing or Just Modern Alchemy?
This video highlights another important lesson in relative strength. Despite the volatility in precious metals in recent weeks, a few names have stood out above the rest. In the crypto space, not all names have behaved equally either.
What's Next? The Aftermath of the Fed Pivot
The Federal Reserve officially pivoted last week from tighter monetary policy to a more accommodative outlook. Now we've had a few days to see the response, what's next for the market? (KHC, NVDA, IWM, WMT, GOOGL, SYF, KEY, AMZN, XLE).
Irrational FOMC Exuberance
-Rate cut mania -capital rotations are epic -financials rip in lower rates? -PM/hedge panic -SKEW record, VVIX makes it interesting -high impact moves in a low vix continue SPX Expected Move -- --last week -- 64.66 (5-day expected move) --next week-- 55.44 (5-day expected move)
Wild Swings Following the Great Fed Pivot
In today's video we look at equity and commodity responses to the Fed Policy Pivot. We compare the wild swings in equities to the sustained lift in commodities as a sign of a return of cheap money and rising inflation.
A Powell Keg of Market Risk to the Upside!
Jerome Powell's words fuel a market rally! In this evening's video, Don Kaufman explains the latest actions taken by the FOMC and the widespread market surge triggered by Jerome Powell's reinforced dovish stance on Federal Reserve policy.
Are Markets Sleepwalking into Powell’s Presser Tomorrow?
Stocks are seeing positive signs such as semiconductors breaking out to new multi-year highs. But with Fed Chair Powell set to speak tomorrow after the Fed announcement, could bulls be walking into a trap?