Predicting the Unpredictable: Analyzing Geopolitical Risks and Market Performance


In today's video we discuss Geopolitical risks and uncertainty, focussing on Middle Eastern conflict and we review major events in recent history and the impact on oil and the U.S. economy. We also look at a pairs trade opportunity during these moments of risk, considering a trade in favor of consumer staples over consumer discretionary.

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1 Comment

  • Chalzer

    October 19, 2023

    Blake,
    Good analysis with bonds and oil; where is gold/silver in your thinking?
    Is it too manipulated to take meaning from its price action in the same time series you've highlighted?

    CM
    San Francisco