Record Tesla Deliveries Don't Matter
Don Kaufman here. Tesla just delivered record-high quarterly numbers this morning. The stock spiked, then completely reversed. And that reversal just proved why 90% of traders lose money. You think information gives you an edge. You think that if you could just get the Tesla delivery numbers before everyone else, you'd make a killing. Here's…
Thursday, October 2, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters
The market keeps grinding higher, shutdown headlines be damned. It’s the kind of tape that punishes overthinkers — momentum is the only game in town right now, and it’s messy, erratic, but alive. I walked through why the regional banks are flashing stress again, how oil just can’t make up its mind, and…
Thursday, October 2, 2025 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Bulls Eye 6800 After Trend Dayby Tony Rago Overnight highs followed yesterday’s strong trend up day. Now it’s on the bulls to defend pullbacks above 6750 and make a run at the next big round number on the chart — 6800. Ideally, I’d like to see a pullback toward 6750 for clues. On NQ,…
We Just Flipped Like a Pancake
Nike just broke out of an algorithmic downward channel. And it's up HUGE! Everyone dumped Merck last week during quarter-end window dressing. It's one of my core holdings. Pfizer got a three-year grace period from tariffs and price controls. Look at it today. No one loved these stocks. What changed? The calendar flipped to October…
Gold Is Rarely Wrong
Don Kaufman here. If you own the S&P 500 in any way, shape, or form – whether individual stocks, a Vanguard 500 in your 401k, whatever – I'm really nervous for you right now. And it's not because of the government shutdown that nobody cares about. It's because I'm looking at gold. Here's the thing…
Wednesday, October 1, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters
We kicked off Q4 with plenty of noise—government shutdown chatter, data blackouts looming, and sector signals flashing warning lights. Don’t let the green on your screen fool you… this tape is fragile. Key Takeaways Banking stress is real—regional names under pressure KRE slipped under its 50-day, and that’s the canary. When regional banks…
This Gold Move Scares Me
Gold just went parabolic while the dollar stayed flat. That shouldn't be possible. It's making me nervous. Everyone's focused on the government shutdown...they're watching Tesla explode higher on 2.5 million option contracts…they're celebrating the S&P grinding toward new highs. Meanwhile, gold is screaming something completely different. We're talking about a move from $3,400 to $3,900…
3 trades from the Big 3 (one's completely contrarian)
Don Kaufman here. Just wrapped up another appearance on Schwab's Big 3, and I've got to tell you - this was one of those sessions where the obvious plays and the smart plays were pointing in completely opposite directions. You know me. I love finding opportunity where everyone else sees disaster. The Government Shutdown Nobody…
Wednesday, October 1, 2025 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
New Quarter, Big Waves Aheadby Tony Rago Fresh month, fresh quarter. The government shutdown chatter could throw some curveballs into the cash session this morning, so stay sharp. We already had a big overnight range, which means plenty of potential for strong waves once the market opens. Patience is the name of the game…
Why “AI” Doesn’t Matter
OpenAI announced they're building a ChatGPT integration for Etsy products. The stock rallied $12 yesterday. Today, it's giving every penny back. Traders something happen once and think they've discovered a pattern. "AI announcements = instant rally." "Just buy anything that mentions artificial intelligence." So the next time a company drops "AI" into an earnings call,…