Goldman's $29.5 Trillion AI Bucket vs. $31 Trillion US Economy
Hey there, Garrett here. You know what made me laugh this morning? Bank of America analysts finally declared "Stock market frothiness might just be the new normal." Welcome to the party, pal. Where have you been since 2008? But here's what these same financial journalists are STILL missing - and it's costing regular Americans everything…
Thursday, September 25, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters
Something feels off. The SPY slipped under its 8-day moving average, momentum flipped negative, and even Powell himself admitted valuations are stretched. We’re not at red-alert levels yet, but you can smell the leverage in this tape. When liquidity rules, moves stretch longer than they should—until they snap. Key Takeaways Momentum cracking at…
Thursday, September 25, 2025 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Econ Sparks Early Sellingby Tony Rago Pre-market econ has sellers pressing lower, and I’m watching the U SETTLE levels — 24,568 on NQ and 6,658 on ES — for clues. That’s the zone where a reversal could kick in, but don’t get too anticipatory on the dip buy. Let the tape prove it. We’ve…
I’ve Got 5 Trillion Problems But My Short Ain’t One
Don here... Everyone's freaking out over two tiny down days while completely missing the BIGGEST risk buildup in market history. THE SPX and SPY just traded 12 million option contracts today. That's nearly 20% of the entire market's daily volume in just two products. Here's what has me on high alert: SPX moved 4 million…
Why Your 20% Returns Must End
You're up 20% this year. You were up 20%+ last year too. You think this is the new normal. You're wrong. The mathematical reality is brutal: your real inflation-adjusted return over 150 years is 6.8% annually. Those extra 13% gains you're pocketing don't disappear. They get paid back with interest through correction years that destroy…
The One AI Play That's About to Change Everything
Hey there, Garrett Baldwin here. I've called three major crashes in my career. But what I'm seeing in AI right now isn't a crash - it's the opposite. We're in year 2 of what could be the fastest wealth surge in history. And there's one way to play it that costs 90% less than buying…
3 bearish trades while everyone chases the rally
Don Kaufman here. The sector rotation game is getting dangerous. While everyone's watching the S&P bounce around breakeven, here's what's actually happening: We've got a 50/50 advance-decline line with tech getting hammered underneath. That's not healthy market action—that's the setup for something bigger. And frankly, after 48 hours of trillion-dollar AI spending announcements, I think…
Wednesday, September 24, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters
The market walked into today still buzzing from Powell’s comments yesterday that knocked equities off balance. Liquidity remains the driving force, but a reminder—valuations don’t matter until they do. Momentum is still in control, but cracks are where opportunity hides. Key Takeaways Liquidity remains the kingmaker The S&P and Nasdaq continue to ride…
Wednesday, September 24, 2025 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Pullback Has Room… If Bears Show Upby Tony Rago Yesterday’s pullback could have more juice if we can get — and stay — under the weekly opens at 6716 and 24,850. If price holds a lower high under 6750 and 25,000, the bears might finally string together another day of downside. That said, I…
I Just Did the Math on Every Bubble Since 1929.
Hey there, Gianni here. During the .com bubble, the NASDAQ gained 1,322% from its 1990 low to the March 2000 peak. If we repeated that performance from 2016's low of 4,267, the NASDAQ would hit 60,676 today. We're at 22,789. So when someone tells you we're in a bubble, show them that math. What Real…