Monday, September 22, 2025 - Tony's Pre-market Playbook
Weekly Opens Set the Toneby Tony Rago New week, new opportunities to get paid. Both NQ and ES are trading under their weekly opens, and that’s the key level to watch. If bulls can retake and hold above, momentum continues higher. Stay below, and it opens the door for a test of the weekly…
Your Portfolio Hasn't Made Money in 30 Years
For 30 years, the S&P 500 has performed equally to gold in dollar terms. Gold provides no real return and costs money to store. That means America's "premier" stock index hasn't generated real wealth for three decades. Think about that. An entire generation of "buy and hold" investors got played by monetary policy masquerading as…
The Fly Trap Can Catch More than Flies
I got trapped by my own fly trap last week. Every September where I live, house flies invade. We try everything - sprays, swatters, those salt shooting guns. Nothing eliminates them, so we manage with sticky fly strips. You know the ones: gooey plastic strips that trap anything that touches them. I was grabbing a…
84M Contracts Traded & Market Acts Like Nothing Happened (WARNING)
🚨 Something's seriously wrong with this market. The Fed cut rates yesterday... and interest rates went HIGHER. 84 million option contracts traded today - a NEW RECORD - and the market barely flinched. Meanwhile, volatility futures finished higher while the S&P hit new highs. Dogs and cats living together, people. After 15 years at thinkorswim…
Friday, September 19, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters
Triple witching day. The kind of session where liquidity sloshes around like a busted keg at a frat party. If you don’t know how funds rebalance after a Fed cut and a tech rally, buckle up — today was your education. Key Takeaways FedEx isn’t just about packages — it’s about the economy…
We May Be Seeing a Perfect Setup to End Q3
Race Against Time: Why Quarter-End Forces Create the Perfect Short Setup Money managers are playing beat the clock. They're buying parabolic garbage just to pump their numbers before September 30th. Apple up three points for iPhone news. Tesla rallying on nothing. Google surging because people search "mortgage rates." This isn't investing. This is financial theater.…
The Win Rate Question That Makes Me See Red
Don Kaufman here Someone asked me my win rate on a webcast yesterday and I turned red. Seriously. Like, I get so pissed at that question it's almost as bad as when somebody says "quadruple witching." My blood pressure spikes and I want to reach through the screen. You know why that question makes me…
The Most Overlooked Opportunity Right Now
Every now and then, I like to remind readers that sentiment follows price, not the other way around. Which is why I'm more bullish on Solana than I've ever been. Back in April, I started pounding the table on Ethereum while everyone was calling it useless, too expensive, outdated. As it turns out, it's been…
Friday, September 19, 2025 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Expiration Day Fireworksby Tony Rago It’s a big expiration day — which means at some point we should see a move, and it could get violent in either direction. Bulls are still holding the line, so new highs are on the table to close out the week. But if 6662 on ES or 24,500…
Thursday, September 18, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters
Fresh off the Fed cut, the tape’s ripping higher. Small caps are running, semis are in play, and momentum’s alive across the board. But don’t mistake this for clean strength—it’s liquidity, leverage, and policy colliding, and that always means opportunities and risks stacked together. Key Takeaways Fed cut lights a fire under small…