Why The 10 Year Bond Yield Will Fall
Stocks Have Another Failed Rally In the past 4 days, stocks have peaked in the morning and then fallen in the afternoon, sometimes into the negatives. I think there is a technical battle between those who want the market to retest the recent trough and those who want the market to make new highs. On…
Why Rate Hikes Matter This Time
Stocks give up much of the gains today as the fear of rising interest rates are still front and center. In this crucial video newsletter we look at why rising interest rates are so important to economy more than any other time in recent history Watch the video now to find out and you can…
The Short Treasury Trade Is Over Crowded
Wal-Mart Margins Shrink Wal-Mart stock fell 2.75% on Wednesday as the stock is in complete free fall. It’s down 16.46% since January 29th. I don’t think the selloff in Wal-Mart signifies overall weakness from the consumer because the same store sales growth was fine. There are 3 main causes of the decline in WMT. The…
FOMC Minutes Sends Stocks Up & Then The Dollar Pushes Stocks Down
Fiscal Stimulus Bails Out The Fed At face value, the equity market’s initial reaction to the Fed Minutes was very confusing. The Fed boosted its economic projections and said it expected “further gradual rate hikes.” Objectively, these are hawkish statements. The market rallied on signals of further hikes even though a few years ago it…
Rising Interest Rate Fears Resurface
FOMC minutes released today sparked more fears of a rising interest rate environment. The stock market reacted by shedding all the gains on the day and ending in negative territory. In this crucial video newsletter we look at what part of the market is the most impacted by rising interest rates and where the opportunity…
Best Positive Guidance Since At Least 1996
EPS Guidance Looks Spectacular Q4 2017 earnings are shaping up to be great. These results support this bull market. There are many investors who argue that earnings don’t matter. There is always going to be short term action which doesn’t work in concert with earnings growth, but that’s not a sufficient argument to say earnings…
Wal-Mart Crashes While Small Businesses Flourish
Wal-Mart Stock Crashes The biggest news item of the day on Tuesday was the crash in Wal-Mart stock after disappointing earnings. The stock’s decline of 10.18% was its worst trading day since January 1988. This decline made the Dow the worst performing of the major indexes. Earnings per share were $1.33 which missed the expectation…
How to Trade Three Scenarios in the Next 30 Days
Over the next 30 days there is a tremendous amount of opportunity setting up in the market. In this crucial video newsletter we look at the the 3 likely scenarios and the types of trades you'd want to look for to take full advantage of the opportunity. Watch the video now to find out... For…
Stock Market To Peak In 2019 Or Later?
Declining Labor Momentum The chart below shows the net number of states with increasing or decreasing unemployment rates. This is like a breadth indicator for the labor market. As you can see, there are about 23 more states with decreasing unemployment rates than increasing rates. The number likely declined because of the weakness in energy…
Is this Rally Real?
One of the hallmarks of volatility is massive up moves and what we saw this week was the largest up move in a week since 2011. 2011 just so happens to be the last time there was significant volatility in market. In this crucial weekend video newsletter we answer the the question - is this…