Where the Squeeze Starts
Hey trader, Cleveland-Cliffs just got squeezed on a nine-delta print. Someone bought over 10,000 call contracts across the $10 and $11 strikes for April 24 expiration. The $10 tranche filled and the stock barely budged. Then the $11 block hit at 10:14 AM, and CLF popped on volume within minutes. What the Prints Tell You…
Fast 35% win while the world panics (+ a $1.8T problem nobody's watching)
I paid 80 cents on a Starbucks In/Out spread. This morning I sold it for $1.08. Done. 35% profit in one day. Meanwhile, oil is ripping, and the tape is whipping in every direction. None of it mattered. I knew the expected move. I knew the range. I traded it, took the money, and…
Thursday, April 2, 2026 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Volatility on Deck — Sell the Rips by Tony Rago Big selloff overnight with crude pushing up to $109, setting the stage for expanded ranges and fast-moving price action. When you see that kind of pressure paired with elevated energy, it tends to spill over into equities and create sharper rotations on both sides. I’ll…
Where Big Money is Betting Oil Will Go
Hey trader, The Persian Gulf conflict has kept crude elevated for weeks… …but tonight's presidential address could shift the entire supply narrative in a single session. And I see three possible outcomes we can use for setups. Traders are already positioning themselves ahead of time. An institution just bought a $10-wide put spread on USO,…
Consumer Discretionary Is a Mirage
Blake Young just exposed a major crack in the consumer discretionary rally. Tesla now accounts for 20% of the entire sector, and today's 2.6% bounce is dragging XLY higher while the actual consumer stocks are falling apart. Remove Tesla from XLY and the sector looks like Nike. Nike just dropped 14% after missing earnings by…
TSLA 120%. AVGO 100%. Same morning. Here is how.
400,000 SPX contracts traded before the cash open this morning. You think the volatility is over? Look at that number and tell me with a straight face things have quieted down. They have not. Which is exactly why I waited. Yesterday, an hour before the close, I put on two Superfly trades. Tesla and Broadcom.…
3 Trades I just broke down on Schwab
I just got off air with Schwab, and I had to get this out immediately. The market's in full volatility mode right now. Up 300. Down 400. Back up 200. And here's the thing — in this kind of environment, you don't need to be bullish or bearish. You just need to be positioned. I…
The Energy Trade Is Over
Hey trader, Money managers walked into the first day of Q2 and bought energy with both hands. Yet, by midday, the XLE was down 4%. I called it out on today's broadcast: The XLE is in a topping formation. It is an over-owned, fully priced index. If you bought this morning, you are already underwater.…
Wednesday, April 1st, 2026 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Squeeze Back to Resistanceby Tony Rago Strong squeeze out of that oversold pocket and we’ve now pushed right back into 24K on NQ and 6,600 on ES — levels that matter. When you get a move like that, fast and aggressive, the question shifts from direction to sustainability. Moves that go “too far too fast”…
The VIX Signal Nobody Noticed
Gianni Di Poce just flagged a divergence that changes the playbook for Q2. Stocks dropped to new lows this week. The VIX never confirmed the move. VIX cash and VIX futures both refused to make new highs while the market was making new lows. That disconnect is one of the most reliable signals that downside…