Geopolitical Tension Is Setting Certain Stocks Up for a Move
“Buy on the canons…” Pop-history tells us Baron Rothschild said that during the Napoleonic Wars… but there’s a good chance he didn’t. Whoever really said it wasn’t exactly wrong. Times of conflict, like we’re seeing in the Middle East and in Ukraine and Russia, put upward pressure on defense contractors and oil companies. And, as…
It’s Time to Pay Attention to Crypto Again
If you ever follow any of my live sessions here at TheoTrade, you’ve probably heard me poke some innocent fun at the crypto crowd. Let me assure you that it’s with the sincerest intentions - I don’t enjoy seeing people getting caught on the downside in market manias. But at the end of the day,…
The Fed Fumbles… And Hands Us Huge Opportunities
The Fed slashed interest rates by 50 basis points today… while saying they intended to run a “rather restrictive policy.” The reaction was fairly muted - a lot of this has been baked in. I think a cut like this is going to keep the market on edge for the foreseeable future. That’s because, in…
Stocks Hit New All-Time Highs Ahead of Rate Cuts
The Dow finally has company - the much broader S&P 500 has joined it at the all-time high party. If you sense something missing from this picture, you’re not wrong… I’m concerned that the NASDAQ hasn’t notched highs this month. Of course, that’s the home of tech in the market, and tech stocks typically react…
TheoTrade’s Tale of the Tape: Tech’s Rebound Gives Bulls a Breather
Markets closed out last week near the highs, courtesy of the tech sector. This is the exact type of leadership we need to see if this bull market is going to continue. To be clear, one-week leadership isn’t as significant as 30-day or even year-to-date leadership. So even with tech’s solid rebound and the plethora…
The Fed “Train” Is Leaving the Station: Destination Unknown
The markets are pricing in the first rate cut in more than four years. As of this writing, it looks like we can expect a 50-basis-point cut on Wednesday, with a 50% probability of a 1.25% cut by December. That’s fast… but what’s the hurry? Is the Fed that desperate to accommodate the mountain of…
The Calm Before the FED
The markets are all over the place, and with the Fed decision looming, things are heating up. 🔥 Sectors are driving the action, but what happens if we get a 25 bps rate cut? It’s not just the cut that matters — the Fed’s guidance will be crucial for the next move. We’ve got volatility…
Market Musings from TheoTrade's Live Event
After a year of being with the TheoTrade team, I finally got the opportunity to meet Don and the rest of the team. It’s always great to put a name to a face, especially when you’re talking to people on a daily basis. Not to mention, I’ve had the chance to meet many TheoTrade members,…
The “Return of Inflation” and How to Profit from It
PPI data came in above expectations today, but still, in the grand scheme of things, below levels that would give the Fed heartburn - if they even get heartburn. Today we’re going to look at how crude oil, Texas tea, impacts that same inflation data. What’s more, we’ll look at my charts and see what…
Volatility Is Alive and Well and…
confirmation that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points. So of course, stocks took off like a shot - just kidding. They didn’t. They tanked steadily until just before lunchtime… then they took off in a 2% reversal rally. That sounds great, but there’s more going on here than meets the eye. I’ll…