Whether you’ve been psyched for “Liberation Day”... or completely freaked out by the stiff tariffs that just came down… you need to hear what I’m going to tell you tonight. We’ve been dealing with a range bound market that’s seen some wild, but increasingly weak, reversal rallies over the past few s
Stocks got squeezed out of the low yesterday, but there are still some formidable obstacles bulls need to get around to rekindle the bull market. Market breadth is starting to improve, but without the Magnificent Seven participating, bullish efforts won’t amount to much. We took a swing at Tesla (TS
The S P 500 just experienced a 2% rally after a risk-off day, with the VIX nearly hitting 25 before reversing. However, gold’s performance, with the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) up 1.4%, outshone most S P sectors, signaling underlying market unease. Gold’s outperformance suggests a shift away from inflatio
Volatility is in backwardation… That’s not a horoscope or a fortune cookie, it’s real and it’s happening right now. We’re staring down the barrel of an intense, though possibly short, wave of volatility here. But this is a great market for trading. Earlier this week, while the markets were trading m
In any Economics 101 classroom, they’ll tell you a standard business cycle in the US economy takes around four years to play out, from weakness to strength to weakness. Right now, although hard data and even anecdotal evidence (based on my quick TheoChat room survey yesterday) are mixed, with streng
The S P 500 is down around 1.3% and volatility is up - nearly 9% for the day, in fact. THE CHOP is back, baby! Big-time. And we’re perfectly positioned for it, too. The sell-side activity we’ve seen today came from bigger fish out there, which is one reason why the Nasdaq isn’t doing anywhere near
“Can the bulls pull it off?” That’s the question on 162 million minds right now. Tonight we’ll answer it. Stocks started the week off on a strong note, but, as of about 1 PM today, they're in “catching their breath” mode. Nevertheless it’s way too early to say definitively that the tide has turned b
Big market moves often come with big stories, and last week was no exception. It all started on Thursday when some massive “Ghost Print” call option trades hit the Magnificent Seven stocks - Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOGL), and Meta (META). As I said in Friday afterno
The S P 500 closed today massively unchanged from where it started the week - tame compared to last week’s mayhem. I’m seeing the words “back to normal” and “calm” thrown around a lot out there. The VIX came down below 20 today, which might make it seem like calm is returning, but don’t buy it
