We're Down to Three Products That ARE the Market
Don Kaufman here. Here's a truth nobody wants to face. The entire financial sector - every bank in America combined - doesn't equal the market cap of two tech stocks. Let me break this down with actual numbers that'll make you question everything you think you know about diversification. The Shocking Math JP Morgan is…
Expected Move Predicts Every Market Turn
Markets finished massively unchanged today. We closed exactly where options pricing said we would. That precision is starting to bother me! The SPX rallied into this week's expected move Tuesday and hasn't budged since. We're sitting at 6852, pinned to the upper edge like it's magnetized. Last week we did the exact opposite. Thursday we…
I'm Done With Fake Trading Gurus
I've had it. I've been in this business 27 years. Built Thinkorswim from 13 employees to a $4 billion acquisition. Seen every scam, every fake guru, every paper-trading charlatan out there. And I'm absolutely sick of it. The Trading Education Scam Here's what pisses me off most: educators who won't trade their own systems. They'll…
3 new trades I just revealed on Schwab
Don Kaufman here. I Just wrapped up Schwab's Trading 360 show. Marley and Kayden had me break down three trades live on air. Apple. Silver. ExxonMobil. Three completely different setups. Three different strategies. But here's the thing... Each one is based on the same core principle I've been hammering home: retail options order flow is…
The Government Reopening Rally That Isn't
Don Kaufman here. And welcome to another episode of "The Media Gets Everything Wrong." This morning everyone's talking about the big rally on government reopening news. Futures were up 62 handles when I woke up. Every major channel is running the same story - markets celebrate as Senate passes deal to end shutdown. Here's the…
The Real Stock Market Unwind Hasn’t Begun
We just witnessed something that should terrify every trader in this market. The S&P dropped exactly 1% this morning. Yet the advance-decline line sat at 50-50. Half the stocks up, half down, while the index got crushed. That's not normal market behavior. That's rotation masking what's coming. Here's what actually happened this week: Last week,…
Why I Shorted the "Safest" Tech Stock This Morning
Don Kaufman here. My computer literally crashed the moment I started talking sh*t about Apple. I'm not kidding. Mid-sentence, explaining why AAPL was about to get destroyed, my entire setup went dark. Had to restart everything. "I was talking crap about Apple. Apple, yeah. By the way, if it happens again, it's like, you know,…
Retail Is Running Scared Into Two Stocks
Don Kaufman here. Holy crap, I've never seen anything like this. We're sitting at all-time highs - literally a day or two removed from them - and retail is acting like it's the end of the world. The liquidity concentration has never been more extreme, and it's getting worse by the day. The Numbers Don't…
Bonds Threaten Markets
The S&P closed up 24 points today. Everyone's celebrating. But I'm watching something far more dangerous develop in real time. The bond market just flashed a warning signal that could flip this entire rally on its head. We're talking about a shift that's happening right now while most traders are completely focused on tech stocks…
3 New Trade Ideas
Don Kaufman here. This morning on Schwab's Big 3 Show, I warned about something most traders are missing. Stocks hitting all-time highs while economic weakness builds underneath. "Bearish feel out there in the marketplace," I said - but these names keep climbing anyway. Amazon just gained $200 billion in market cap off a $38 billion…