How We Can Trade on GDP
Gross domestic product is the single broadest, cleanest measure of the health and growth of the economy. The number we got today missed the forecast and came in significantly worse than the previous quarter, to boot. How big was the miss? Big - 3.1% during the previous quarter down to 2.3% today. But, there’s a…
Don’t Get Caught In This Market Crossfire
There are a ton of earnings hitting us today and over the next few days - Mr. Toad’s Wild Ride. But that’s later. We need to push that aside. There are bigger things to be concerned about right now. The market went into its usual pre-FOMC holding pattern, drifting around sideways… until a “classic” Trump…
Stocks Are Recovering From Yesterday’s “Hiccup” - Here’s What Comes Next
DeepSeek sent the big indexes anywhere from -1.5% to -3.1% “deeper” yesterday, but as we approach the closing bell today we’re now well into a recovery. At a time like this it’s important to remember that one day doesn’t break a trend. It doesn’t make one, either. In fact, there’s a lot to like in…
Why DeepSeek Just Deep-Sixed U.S. AI Stocks
We’re all adults; we all know there are no “sure things.” Just the same, for the past two years, all the talking heads out there have been sure AI was set to revolutionize, well, everything. Sure - AI has been revolutionary and has transformative potential, but its reliance on infrastructure is a hurdle on the…
TheoTrade’s Tale of the Tape: Communications Are Speaking - Are You Listening?
Hello TheoTrader, As we enter the second full week of trading in 2025, the timeline may have shifted slightly, but the underlying story remains the same: we’re in a bull market. Sector performance rankings saw a notable shake-up last week. While much of the movement is bullish, there’s one minor concern—but only in the traditional…
This Trump Rally Is Hiding a Red Flag
So we got a nice bump for the week, for the most part, as the market gets more and more comfortable with the new administration. I can’t say it’s all good, though. I’d be doing you a disservice if I didn’t point out that there are a few reasons not to get too comfortable here.…
I SPY with My Sector Bullseye…
We’re wrapping up an incredible week in the stock market! The S&P 500 cash index—and its ETF counterpart, SPY—hit fresh all-time highs, with futures indices not far behind. If you’ve been following the Sector Leader Bullseye newsletter closely these past few weeks, this probably doesn’t come as a surprise. But let’s be honest—accurately predicting market…
These Are the Market’s Best Income Plays Right Now
Plenty of traders and investors, particularly new ones, tend to want to avoid the bond market, with its emphasis on debt, not equity, and its sensitivity to interest rates. That’s understandable, but bonds are easier - and, with the income they bring - more lucrative than you might think. What’s more, you don’t even need…
Tech Sector to Masayoshi Son: “Domo Arigato!”
In a bullish opening salvo, the new Trump administration announced the opening of the Stargate project. Now, this isn't the Stargate that exported people from earth to an extragalactic planet, but rather a portal opening the way to artificial intelligence infrastructure investment in the United States. In this unveiling, Japan’s SoftBank announced a $100 billion…
Trump's Going to Be Great for... China Stocks?
Donald Trump was sworn into office on Monday, kicking off his second term as the 47th President of the United States. There’s a lot of optimism from the business community at the moment, and a lot of the focus is, understandably, on what’s happening in the U.S. But over the past couple of weeks, I’ve…