Thursday, April 10, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters
It’s 8:45, and we’re coming off a wild one. If you were with me yesterday, you already know we were watching VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) like a hawk. And yes, I walked away for literally one minute—and AAPL popped 25%. That’s trading. You blink, you miss. But the bigger story is that the strategy…
Stocks Will Try to Hold Gains, But China Matters Most Now
“A 90-day pause” on tariffs was the secret sauce. That was all it took for majorly beaten-down stocks to go ballistic this afternoon, anywhere from 6.4% to 9.3% by 3 PM. (Don’t get comfortable - more on that in a minute.) More than 75 U.S. trading partners caught a break, but there’s one country that…
What’s It All For, Anyway?
Bear markets have a funny way of making us stop and think a little more deeply than usual. Trading, after all, is like a staring contest with your own reflection—blink, and you lose. If you’ve been following me, you know I’ve been waving caution flags since late February when market risks started to spike. Since…
Wednesday, April 9, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters
It’s April 9th—yes, not August 9th (turn 44 and the calendar starts blending a bit). Today’s about going back to what works. In a choppy, uncertain market, sometimes the smartest move is to lean on the simplest, most proven strategies. And for me? That’s VWAP—Volume Weighted Average Price. If you’ve traded with me for a…
How to Get Your Money Safely Through to the Other Side
There’s no need to complicate things, no reason to sugarcoat it… It’s a rout. Stocks are in an unambiguous bear trend right now. Copper and oil are breaking down; this tape has “recession” written all over it. Overseas, Chinese firms are planning buybacks to keep their bull running, and it looks like the government there…
The 40-40-10-10 Allocation Model
A Practical Way to Stay Invested Without Losing Your Shirt Whether the market is running hot, breaking down, or just moving sideways, one of the biggest challenges for any investor is figuring out how to stay involved without taking on too much risk. That’s where the 40-40-10-10 model comes in. This is a simple, flexible…
Tuesday, April 8, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters
The market’s acting weird, tricky, and loaded with traps—but we’ve been here before. Today’s not just about price action—it’s about resetting your expectations and asking the most fundamental question every investor should be asking right now:“Why do I own this?” Coming off what might’ve been a brief trip into a fourth standard deviation move on…
“It Could Be a Trap” - Beware a Bond-Market Fast One
Today we got something that seemed like a “normal” selling day with only two sectors down more than 2%. This seems a little ridiculous in perspective, given the lack of volatility for the past couple of years, but it’s definitely an improvement at a time when the VIX hits a 60-handle. Tempting, then, to think,…
6 Rules of Negative Momentum
When the market turns Red, it’s not just noise — it’s a clear signal that something has shifted beneath the surface. This is the kind of environment where protecting capital comes first — and opportunity follows close behind for those who are ready. In my world, momentum is everything. It’s how I track capital flows…
TheoTrade’s Tale of the Tape: The Bears Don’t Lie
By now, the market’s decline is dominating the news headlines. The world is paying attention and there is a sense of panic in the air. Does that mean we’ve bottomed out already? Absolutely not. But our discipline in staying on top of weekly sector performance allows us to easily measure the market’s appetite for risk…