Friday, April 25, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters
It’s Friday, the tech’s acting up, my passwords vanished, and maybe—just maybe—the People’s Bank of China is onto me. But we’re here, we’re live, and we’ve got a market to unpack. After a weird, exhausting week, today’s about clearing your head and tightening your game. Markets are showing a little weakness, but the bigger…
If I Was Economic Emperor for a Day…
Stocks have seen a nice bid off the lows of April 7, but all of this volatility year-to-date has come from an attempted upheaval of the global trade order. During the market rout, liquidity dried up. This is why we saw the sharp moves to the downside. Eventually, there was some backpedaling on the tariffs…
Trade Price Action, Not Headline Buzz
On the surface, the headlines look pretty good, certainly less bad than they were a week ago. We’ve had some more data filter in in the meantime, but we shouldn’t be fooled: data isn’t the trend. For instance, we’ve seen durable goods spike and new home sales rise… right? Well, net-net home sales are…
The Next 36 Months
A Tactical Roadmap for the Dollar, Liquidity, and Trade-Driven Opportunities. Garrett Baldwin The market doesn’t feel right — and that’s not just a gut call. We’re in a technical breakdown that’s happening under the surface of the headlines. The S&P 500 is below its 200-day moving average. Momentum has been negative for nearly…
Thursday, April 24, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters
We’re back at it—and today’s focus is crystal clear: this market isn’t playing fair, but it’s playing by patterns. If you understand the flow, structure, and sentiment behind the moves, you don’t need to predict—you just need to be positioned. From momentum red flags to capital rotation signals, this is a day for traders…
Wednesday, April 23, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters
Markets are moving—but let’s be honest, they don’t care about fundamentals right now. Today’s session is about peeling back the layers on what’s really driving price, where the money is flowing, and how we use that to position smarter, not louder. Plus, we might get a cameo from Don (or maybe just the legend…
Volatility Is Down… But Not Out
We opened with a huge move to the upside this morning. The market’s liking what it’s hearing right now in terms of cooling off the trade war and Elon Musk leaving D.C. to go back to Tesla (after one hell of an earnings miss yesterday). The VIX dropped below 30 and stayed there for the…
Stocks Have Erased Monday’s Losses… But It’s Too Early for Bulls to Celebrate
Stocks notched a nice recovery rally today, with the indexes up around 2% to 2.25% in late trading. But to be clear, I’m not inviting everyone back into the water just yet. I need to see more from the tech sector before making that call. Sure - tech, as tracked by the XLK ETF, is…
Something Strange Is Happening in Gold and Bonds
Normally, bond and gold prices move in tandem. For instance, if the Fed, say, cuts interest rates and expands the money supply, gold will advance as short-term bonds rally on the cut in rates. Now, there are times when the prices diverge but right now we’re seeing something pretty extraordinary: Higher bond yields failed to…
Monday, April 21, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters
It’s Easter Monday, April 21st, 8:45 AM—and we’re in a good mood. Because today isn’t just about what’s happening in the next five minutes… it’s about understanding the next 36 months. No, we’re not here to make wild predictions—we’re here to ground ourselves in history. Because when you understand the past 17 years of market…