Monday, July 21, 2025 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Get Ready for a Big Earnings Week by Tony Rago Price action was actually quiet overnight, but we've got a big week ahead for earnings, and and even bigger week for tech the week after that. The tape may well be quiet until we start to see some of those companies report. I'd like…
Friday, July 18, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters
Third Friday Fuel: Opex, Earnings, and the Trades That Matter We’re at 7,500 feet today—literally and metaphorically. Despite the altitude sickness, I’m dialed in because it’s Third Friday, and that means it’s monthly OPEX. This is one of the most tactical trading days of the month, and if you know where to look,…
Strap In: This Big Volatility Signal Just Lit Up
If you're watching the S&P 500, you'd better understand this: not all of its ETFs are created equal. We always talk SPY. That’s the cap-weighted beast driven by the same seven mega-monsters: Nvidia (NVDA), Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), etc. If one of them moves just a little, it can have a bigger impact on the…
TheoTrade’s Tale of the Tape: Wake Up – Ethereum’s Breaking Out
Another week has passed, and I’m once again bringing Ethereum to your attention. I won’t apologize for being a broken record on this market, because it continues to display the most upside momentum. Ethereum is shaping up to be the asset to own in the second-half of 2025. Members in Theo chat, the Trinity Trade,…
Friday, July 18, 2025 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Patience Is Always Important, Moreso Today by Tony Rago These slow tapes really test your mettle as a trader. This kind of action forces you to be very patient and let trades work. Yesterday's paid session was a great example: The low was the 6288 on ES. It saved the roundy and we…
Thursday, July 17, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters
The Market Can Stay Irrational Longer Than You Can Stay SolventLet’s call it what it is — we’re standing on top of a mountain… but it’s dry, rocky, and cracking under our feet. Top Signals Are Flashing — But Timing the Drop Is a Fool’s Game We’ve got all the usual suspects lighting…
Hunting Real AI Value Amid the AI Hype
The AI conversation certainly isn’t new, but the market’s response to it is evolving. We’ve seen months of momentum behind the names that dominate the narrative: Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Palantir (PLTR), and the like. But now it’s not just about who builds the biggest model, it’s about who supports the infrastructure, who quietly enables…
Thursday, July 17, 2025 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Why You've Got to Be Patient with This Market by Tony Rago Oh, bears... I'm sure they'll still out there somewhere, but it definitely seems like that side of the tape is just broken. Instead we've got a perma-bid under the price, though it just keeps stalling at the top of the recent range. …
The Market’s on Valium – Here’s the Wakeup Call
We’re looking at a market that’s decided risk just doesn’t exist. None. Zip. Nada. The VIX is parked while the S&P’s swinging 70 points intraday like it’s nothing. That’s a market in denial. It’s comatose. Volatility, or rather the weird lack of it, tells me we’re brushing up against peak complacency. Retail’s still buying every…
How AI Momentum Is Pushing Rotation
I want to walk you through the concept of “spinning the staff,” a visual I like to use when talking about market channels and sector rotation. Think of a martial artist spinning a long wooden staff: the energy isn’t just at the ends—it’s in the rotation, the center, the rhythm. That same dynamic applies to…