Forget Predicting Earnings - Here's How I Actually Make Money on Them
Look, I'm gonna tell you something that'll probably make you think I've lost my mind: I buy stocks AFTER they gap on earnings. Yeah, you heard that right. While everyone else is trying to predict these moves before they happen - spoiler alert, they can't - I'm over here using my three-step formula to catch…
How Earnings Volatility Comes Back to Fair Price
Earnings season is about finding structure in what looks like chaos. Each report triggers volatility, but the aftermath often follows a predictable rhythm: a move, a reaction, and a reversion to balance. That balance is anchored by “fair price”—typically the midpoint between recent highs and lows. When price trades above and below that level…
This Market Is a Masterclass in Discipline
Let me be clear right from the jump: today’s tape was not about catching some lucky break or getting swept up in emotional “hopium.” No. It was about discipline, structure, and executing a well-formed thesis with surgical precision. If you weren’t watching how ES opened today, you missed a near-textbook example of what I like…
Wednesday, July 23, 2025 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
We Could Get Another Fake-Out Open by Tony Rago Be ready for anything: We could see another weird open to the session today, just like yesterday. No mystery as to why -- NQ is still weaker than ES the action could repeat. The "biggest trade deal in history" with Japan didn't really move the…
Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters
Jerome Powell opened his mouth, and markets held their breath… but if you expected fireworks, you were probably disappointed. I’ve been in the cockpit most of the morning, and from what I can tell, Powell’s comments were more of the same “we’re data dependent” fluff. Meanwhile, we’ve got political noise heating up around…
It’s Time to Rotate – Here’s Where to Look
The session started off yesterday with a bang; we booked huge gains in Arqit Quantum (ARQQ) and respectable profits on Riot Platforms (RIOT). But it’s how the rally took shape that tells me it’s time for action. We got a blowoff in many momentum names, which is warning us that the upside in stocks is…
Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Let's Wait for Real Volatility Today by Tony Rago We could see the market start to stir on earnings today... or we could get another slow summer tape. The VIX did move a bit yesterday so be ready. There are no economic reports due to drop today though a few Fedheads will be speaking…
Monday, July 21, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters
Jet-lagged, caffeinated, and ready to roll… I might feel like $12 this morning, but the market doesn’t care — and neither do earnings. With the season about to kick off hard, especially in tech, we’ve got a firehose of data coming. This morning’s session was all about prepping for impact. Key Takeaways: 1.…
Déjà Vu or Something New? The OPEN Rally and the Echoes of 2020
It’s easy to get swept up in the excitement when a stock like Opendoor (OPEN) surges 90% in a single day… only to give much of it back just as quickly. That kind of move fuels euphoria, making it tempting to believe, “This time is different.” But is it truly an original moment, or just…
TheoTrade’s Tale of the Tape: Bulls Stepped Up Again, But…
Stocks capped off another strong week, and we saw a notable rebound in the technology sector too. This is a very bullish development in and of itself, especially after we saw materials and energy lead during the previous two weeks. But can this rebound be trusted at this stage of the rally? If anything, it…