Breakout traders are getting destroyed right now. They see price push to a new high, they jump in, and then the market reverses and stops them out. They flip short. Another reversal. Another stop. The S P 500 just confirmed a double top and cleared the lows that had held since October. Consumer stap
Everyone loves a breakout. Price pushes through resistance, momentum kicks in, and you jump on board expecting the move to continue. Then it reverses. Hard. You get stopped out. The market bounces. You flip long again. It reverses again. This is the pattern that chews up accounts. It has a name. I c
I had a different plan for what I would discuss this weekend. However, given the wild market action we saw today, it seemed appropriate to talk about turbulence. I've traveled extensively throughout my career, visiting more than 200 cities over a 15-year period. While I don't miss required travel, I
The S P 500 needs to drop 10% just to reach fair price for 2026. That could be coming sooner than we think. Meanwhile, one defensive sector is sitting in oversold territory offering a 3% dividend, 18% annualized premium income, and another 10% in potential appreciation. That's a possible 31% return
Do you like cookies? I do. I try not to eat them anymore as I need to watch my sugar intake, but I can easily state that they are my favorite. Compared to pies, cakes, puddings, mousses, or any other dessert, cookies are the best. Despite not eating cookies now, I have personally eaten enough
Financials hit record highs in late 2025. Volume has declined for six straight months. One of those facts is a buy signal. The other is a warning. They can't both be right. Price making new highs on shrinking volume is one of the oldest divergence signals in technical analysis. It means fewer partic
The dollar index traded a 14-point range in 2025. The average is 8 points. That's 66% wider than normal with higher highs and lower lows than the previous two years combined. This kind of expansion doesn't happen randomly. It signals a reset. A new trend forming. The dollar finished 2025 below the l
The S P 500 is stuck. Money is rotating inside equities but not flowing in. Bonds are selling off. Nobody wants to commit. This is not the time to chase high-flyers. I'm looking at one number before I buy anything right now: beta. Beta tells you how much a stock moves compared to the broad market.
Friday was a mess. Triple witching. Three Fed speakers. A long weekend ahead. The kind of session that chews up futures traders and spits them out. Gold dropped 85 points in minutes. The Nasdaq whipped 20 points in both directions before most traders finished their coffee. Every breakout reversed. E
