Your Gas Pump Is Telling You What to Trade
Hey trader, I filled up my truck last week and noticed the price had jumped again. Most people see that higher number and feel defeated. They grumble, they pay, they drive away. I looked at the same number and saw a trade signal. On Thursday, crude oil broke through the $78 level I had been…
Your Timeframe Is Costing You Money
Most traders pick a timeframe they like and apply it to everything they trade. They scalp ETFs on a five-minute chart… …They hold futures positions for weeks using monthly levels…They wonder why the signals keep failing… The signals are not failing. The timeframe is wrong for the instrument. And today, I’m going to show you…
Don't Forget the Salt
Hello trader, As many of you know, I like to bake. I make multiple types of artisan breads, basic sandwich breads, and rolls. It's a fun hobby that our family and friends benefit from, since we can't possibly eat everything we make. Having been a baker for decades, you might think I have the process…
The One Number That Tells You Whether to Buy or Sell Options
Every options trade starts with the same fork in the road. You can buy premium or you can sell it. Get that decision wrong and it does not matter how good your chart read is. You will leave money on the table even when the trade moves in your direction. I have a single number…
The Supreme Court Just Made Inflation Worse
Hey trader, The market popped on Friday's Supreme Court ruling. Tariffs struck down 6-3. Traders cheered. The S&P 500 rallied. Then the rally stalled. Treasury yields crept higher. Gold collapsed on the headline and recovered every penny within the hour. The bond market already knows what equity traders haven't figured out yet. Removing reciprocal tariffs…
Chain Required
If you live in a climate with real winters, you have probably seen a sign like this: "Chains Required, 4WD with Snow Tires OK." This signage exists for the safety of travelers during winter driving conditions. For those unfamiliar with chains, here is a quick explanation. Chains can be metal links, mesh, or textured cables…
How I Turn $100 Risk Into $393 And Cut My Exposure
Hey trader, I paid 36 cents for an option yesterday. Three contracts. Total risk of $108. The ES dropped 20 points. I sold the next strike for 67 cents and collected $201. Now I have $93 locked in as profit. Zero risk remaining. And if this closes where I think it will, that $93 becomes…
You Can't Outsmart Your Own Rules
Hey trader, Throughout history, philosophers have debated paradoxes about everything in Heaven and on Earth. Consider: if you have a mountain of sand and remove one grain at a time, at what point is it no longer a "mountain"? Or if God is omnipotent, can He create a rock so large that even He cannot…
The Sector Reversal Hiding in Plain Sight
Breakout traders are getting destroyed right now. They see price push to a new high, they jump in, and then the market reverses and stops them out. They flip short. Another reversal. Another stop. The S&P 500 just confirmed a double top and cleared the lows that had held since October. Consumer staples gapped up…
The Widening Pattern That Trapped Traders This Week
Everyone loves a breakout. Price pushes through resistance, momentum kicks in, and you jump on board expecting the move to continue. Then it reverses. Hard. You get stopped out. The market bounces. You flip long again. It reverses again. This is the pattern that chews up accounts. It has a name. I call it the…