Bonds and Oil Signal Economic Threat
In today's video we look at bonds rally indicating a flight to safety and oil prices falling as a sign of destruction of demand. Additionally, we received a warning from Walmart indicating the holiday retail season would likely miss analysts expectations. This is extra concerning as the final quarter of the year usually sees 80%…
Market Freaked Out by Fed
In today's video we look at the 30 year bond auction and Fed Chair Jerome Powell's statement. We discuss the worst performance in the 30 year bond auction in years and we review the Fed's tacit admission of failure to get inflation under control.
Fed Does Nothing and the Market Likes it!
In today's video we look at the bullish response to the Fed leaving rates unchanged. We discuss peak interest rates. We also discuss how the Fed signaled justification to raise rates and the reason why they didn't raise rates.
Taking Advantage of Bond Market Volatility
In today's video we look at increased volatility in bond prices. We discuss a possible bounce and bond yield peak. We also discuss which areas of the market should benefit from peak yields.
Predicting the Unpredictable: Analyzing Geopolitical Risks and Market Performance
In today's video we discuss Geopolitical risks and uncertainty, focussing on Middle Eastern conflict and we review major events in recent history and the impact on oil and the U.S. economy. We also look at a pairs trade opportunity during these moments of risk, considering a trade in favor of consumer staples over consumer discretionary.
Inflation Will Not Die but May Kill the Markets
In today's video we look at inflation and the impact on equity values and inflation adjusted PE ratios. We discuss historic high levels in PE ratios and low Dividend Yield levels. We also compare the S&P 500 to a risk free premium reached 2.5 times the level seen in 2008...
The Tech Bubble: Is History Repeating Itself?
In today's video we compare interest rates, debt rates and GDP in our current AI frenzy and the tech bubble of 2000 as well as 2008. We also discuss Market Valuations and GDP ratios or the buffet indicator.
3 High-Yield Stocks to Buy Now
In today's video we looked at yield and looking for a dividend yield over a bond yield. We looked at 3 stocks paying higher yields than bonds that are not falling like bonds
Sometimes Picking Stocks is Obvious - Visa & Tesla Analysis
In today's video we look at Visa and Tesla as representations of the overall market and future outlook for the economy. We revisit equities, yields, and home builders. We also look at the 3 defensive sectors as money is shifted to safety
The Stock Markets Worst Fear Is Coming True?
In today's video we look at VIX near annual lows. We look at record high consumer debt and mortgage debt with rising interest rates. We also discuss junk bonds and the Hindenburg Omen.