Will PCE Reaffirm High Inflation?
In today's video we look forward to Friday's Personal Consumption and Expenditure (PCE) Price Index. We discuss the expectation of inflation remaining relatively high and the impact on consumer spending. We look at oil prices as a predictive indication of inflation and earnings as a reactive indicator of inflation.
Did Today's Volume Signal New Record Highs ahead of Sentiment
In today's video we analyze the major indexes movement on higher than average volume. We discuss the potential impact of a better-than-expected Consumer Sentiment report. We also target the S&P 500 reaching new record highs over the next couple of trading days.
What Tomorrow’s Bank Earnings Can Tell You About What’s Coming Next
In today's video, we discussed upcoming bank earnings. We also considered a decline in earnings as an indication of low lending and therefore low growth.
Why Tomorrow's NonFarm Payroll Will Matter
In today's video we dive into jobs data looking the number of people employed, unemployed and with multiple jobs. We discuss jobs data as an indication of future monetary policy from the Fed. We also look at TSLA, BYD, COST, WMT and the homebuilders for potential trade setups.
Ringing In the New Year and Wringing Out The Volatility
In today's video we look at the low volume, low volatility at the end of the calendar year. We discuss the very low cost of options and for potential directional trades into the new year. We also analyzed the market and determined the retail traders were active while institutions were likely already done for the…
Is the Correlation Between Energy and Utilities Broken?
In today's video, we look at the expected correlation with energy prices and utilities performance. We look at the stronger correlation between utilities and inflation and inverse correlation between interest rates and utilities.
Wild Swings Following the Great Fed Pivot
In today's video we look at equity and commodity responses to the Fed Policy Pivot. We compare the wild swings in equities to the sustained lift in commodities as a sign of a return of cheap money and rising inflation.
The Rise and Fall of the NASDAQ - What Every Trader Should Know?
In today's video we look at the 3 main drivers or correlations to the NASDAQ. We discuss the U.S. dollar, borrowing rates and AI's influence on the movement of tech stocks. We also look for the strong stocks that should remain strong if rates continue lower and the weak stocks that should sell off if…
Does Pending Home Sales Mean a Pending Recession?
In today's video we look at pending home sales. We discuss the -1.5% pushing the pending home sales not just to an annual low but the lowest reading since the creation of the pending home sales report. We highlight the lag in existing sales report compared to pending home sales. We also discuss home builders…
Bad Durable Goods is Good?
In today's video we look at Durable Goods Orders as a predictor of bond prices and business cycle. We discuss other recession indicators and we discuss the expectations of another push higher in equities going in to the end of the year.