GDP Signals More Rate Hikes Needed
In today's video, we look at Final GDP as a confirmation of a resilient economy and the justification if not requirement of future Federal Reserve rate hikes. We discuss the movement of copper as an indication of falling global demand and also look at the bearish breakout in bond prices and bullish breakout in yields…
Is the Fed Afraid of Destroying Equities?
In today's video, we discuss why the recent pause from the Federal Reserve rate hikes while the rest of the world is raising rates. We discuss the Bank of England, the Reserve Bank of Australia and others increasing rates with surprise hikes desperate to fight inflation. In addition, we discuss the direct correlation with Fed…
EU Rate Hike, Good for US Stocks?
In today's video we look at the European Union Rate Hike and compare the differential between the U.S. and European Central Bank short term rates. In addition, we identify the direct correlation between dollar weakness and U.S. equity strength and estimate the next move in both the U.S. dollar and U.S. equities.
Real Data Revealed: Unmasking Economic Revisions' Impact
In today's video we discuss economic revisions and how they show the true state of the economy and how the revisions are both justifying more rate hikes while also signaling a shift in consumer spending. We also look at selling high end stores and restaurants while buying discount store and fast food chains...
Is the Fed Afraid to Raise Rates?
In today's video we discuss comments from Fed President Harker and the market reaction to a potential pause. We discuss inflation and equities and how a pause in raising rates will likely see commodities and equities move higher. We also considered the risk of higher inflation without another hike.
Will the Fed Ignore Critical Data?
In today's video we discuss GDP and inflation data. We also look at what it will mean to have the Fed raise rates while the treasury issues more debt and look at the short and long term impact on equities and bonds.
Who's Afraid of More Rate Hikes?
In today's video we discuss hawkish comments from multiple Fed members and discuss the shifting outlook of a rate pause to a rate hike. In addition, we discuss the strengthening U.S. dollar and the historical inverse correlation between the U.S. dollar and equities and we also look at the occasional positive correlation as an indication…
Will a Higher CPI See a Lower Market?
In today's video we discussed market reactions to rising CPI We compared inflation data between the U.S. and the Eurozone and the impact to the U.S. dollar index. We also estimated the equity pullback we might expect if the U.S. dollar rises.
Manic Managers Show Our Troubles Ain't Over
In today's video we discuss the Institute of Supply Management manufacturing and pricing data. We discuss the continued compression in manufacturing for nearly 16 months while prices move higher again. We looked at bearish positions in Industrials, specifically Boeing (BA).
GDP Slowdown Signals Rate Cuts?
In today's video we discussed Advanced Gross Domestic Product. The decline in GDP as a sign of economic slowdown and forecasting a potential recession. We also reviewed the CME Fed Watch Tool pricing in rate cuts as early as July.