Wednesday, October 22, 2025 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Breakout or More Chop?by Tony Rago Yesterday was a clean consolidation day, and now we’ll see if today’s the one that breaks us out to new highs on both NQ and ES. I’m watching for a push above yesterday’s highs — but only if key support levels hold underneath. If those highs cap the…
Tuesday, October 21, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters
It’s Tuesday, October 21st — my mother’s 82nd birthday — and the market’s acting like it wants to celebrate too. After last week’s squeeze, we’re sitting flat this morning, waiting for the opening bell to decide which way the pendulum swings. The setup is clean: a market near all-time highs, liquidity still flooding in,…
The $10 Trillion Fear Signal Wall Street Doesn't Want You to See
Don Kaufman here. I've been watching something disturbing unfold in the options market. While everyone's debating whether we're in a bubble or correction, there's a $10 trillion elephant in the room that most retail traders have never heard of. It's called the CBOE SKEW Index, and it just hit 151.31 - a level that historically…
Tesla's About to Rip?
Gianni just called Tesla his "back up the truck" trade for Q4. You know me. I've been the guy screaming about concentration risk and elevated volatility for months. Gianni? He's buying everything in sight. And honestly, the rotation he's tracking is making me think twice. Tesla hasn't hit a new all-time high since December 2024. …
Gold Just Showed You Exactly What's Coming for the S&P
The S&P just printed another all-time high. Six months of relentless buying….every dip defended within hours…retail traders rushing into calls every morning like clockwork. You're watching the market overshoot, running past the cliff edge but somehow staying suspended in mid-air. Not falling. Not climbing higher either. Just hovering there, defying gravity while everyone below waits…
The Skew Signal I've Been Quietly Using for Years
Don Kaufman here. Look, I need to tell you about something I've been sitting on. For the better part of a decade at thinkorswim and TD Ameritrade, I had access to order flow data that most retail traders never see. Billions in institutional positioning. The real money moves before they hit the headlines. One indicator…
Tuesday, October 21, 2025 - Tony's Pre-Market Playbook
Tech Leads the Chargeby Tony Rago Yesterday gave us a clean gap-and-go that rewarded aggressive buyers. NQ is knocking on the door of new highs, while ES is still sitting just under 6,800. For now, NQ is leading the charge — and with tech earnings kicking off today, we might see a range form…
Big Money Just Bet Against Every Home Builder
Gold crushed the S&P today by 3 to 1. That tells you everything about where real money is flowing. Brandon just caught institutional traders positioning for a collapse in home builders. They're betting against the Fed rate cut narrative that has everyone else convinced housing is about to rally. The logic seems bulletproof on the…
VIX Just Dropped 11%
Don Kaufman here. I was looking at the market data this morning and something's not adding up. VIX just dropped 11% to 18.44 and change - that should be good news for income traders, right? Wrong. Here's what's really happening: Even with VIX pulling back today, we're still seeing the kind of wild intraday swings…