As New Lows Continue in Equities and Bonds, it's Time to Update Reward and Risk Plays Here
The ongoing 2022 "Inflation" Trends continued and even accelerated today with Bonds breaking sharply to new lows (as did equities) while the US Dollar Index and Treasury Yields extended new highs of the year. Will this always be the case? In tonight's video, we start shifting our thinking about positioning with reward and risk firmly…
Market at Pivotal Level as Currency Crisis Deepens
The S&P is back to where it began in mid-June, which means the next leg lower could be a big one. As the S&P tests key levels, the currency markets are roiling and the bond market is getting more volatile. Today was a big roll day with bullish option activity in gold and bearish activity…
Are Markets Coming Apart?
-Vol in backwardation, VVIX starting to react -SKEW is downright scary -dollar relentlessly higher -financials and energy leading lower -AAPL leaves BIG risk on the SP500 table -risk off asset classes may shift SPX Expected Move -last week - 117.28 (expected move) -next week - 123.00 (expected move)
Fed Fall-out as Stocks Continue their Slide Lower
Stocks were volatile in the moments of yesterday's 75 bps rate hike news and press conference, but the slide lower continued into yesterday's close and extended to the close of today's session with more stocks companies joining our scan of stocks making fresh new 52 week lows (including some major market cap names). In tonight's…
In a Bear Market Growth Dies, Jeff Bierman Tells Business Insider
TheoTrade chief market technician Jeff Bierman weighed in on prospects for the stock market in this Business Insider story. Repeating some of the same messages he delivers to TheoTrade members, Bierman told Business Insider: "You've got to break Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Tesla, and Google. They're disconnected from their long-term valuations. Apple has a sequential drop in its sales and…
Fear and Loathing with the FED!
Powell rocks markets with comments of higher interest rates for a longer period of time. Powell puts everything on the table to fight the highest inflation the US has seen in 40 years. Here's the one stock to watch that will determine the next move for the entire stock market...
Getting Ahead of the Fed: Your Big Picture Plan for Wednesday and Beyond
Tomorrow will be another of 2022's Fed Days where the expectation is for a .75 (75 basis point) rate hike to the Fed Funds Rate. If indeed that occurs, where could that send markets? In tonight's video, Corey highlights the ongoing stable trends as Bonds made new 2022 price lows as the 10-year Treasury Note…
Rally Ho! S&P 500 Finishes at Highs as the Fed Looms
After a weak start to the session, the S&P 500 rallied to close at the high. While the move indicates the potential to see a near-term rally off of an oversold level, the overall tenor of the market remains bearish. With the Fed likely to raise 75bp on Tuesday, the interest rate outlook and weakening…
Are you Prepared for the Coming Volatility Shock?
-Getting ugly under 3931 -Can 2 sigma moves become the usual? -Volatility is ready to rock -Implications of spiking volatility -Bonds hit lows and the inversion grows -Dollar near highs but haven’t gone parabolic SPX Expected Move- -last week - 97.23 (expected move) -next week - 117.28 (expected move)
Mid-September Market Update and Getting Ready for the Fed
Stocks continued their slide lower today with the NASDAQ and key tech stocks leading the price pathway lower, as some big market cap stocks continued making new 52 week lows. In tonight's video, we take a broad picture view of the market and then begin preparations for next week's Fed Meeting. Finally, we update our…