Did Bonds Hit the Point of No Return?
- price action in the SP500 is a vol slopfest! - inside the vol box 3600 to 3800 - correlations remain incredibly high (sign of vol) - vix still holding the 30 handle w/ backwardation - volatility is alive 3641 to infinity and beyond - bonds have collapsed, capitulation? - implications of spiking yields, buybacks,…
Bonds and Stocks Slide while Stock Earnings Split
The big headline of today was bonds including TLT and IEF extending their downward slide to fresh new lows of 2022 (while yields on the flipside made new highs), but beneath that headline, we saw big movement in some key stocks reporting earnings. In tonight's video, we update your trends and targets and where stocks…
This Range that Defines ALL Markets!
Financials continue to get hammered as well as the Monsters of Tech while the Energy sector continues to explode to the upside. Join Don in tonight's video as he discusses the range that defines ALL markets and find out if Don is still longterm bearish in this marketplace and what you need to be aware…
Stocks Bounce, Oil Falls, and Earnings Surprise Us on an Active Tuesday: Your Plan of Action
We saw stocks continue the 'risk reversal' bounce play higher, extending the gains from last week's volatility. In tonight's video, we update what levels we're pinpointing as we focus our attention on some major companies reporting earnings today and tomorrow. Some big names are about to report - know your plan of action in the…
Can Bank Earnings Save The Market?
Bank of America (BAC) reported better than expected earnings as the market closes near high and cyclicals lead. Under the surface, a large print points to key level and option activity looks to reset hedges and speculate on earnings this week. (IWM, SPY, JBHT, KNX, DKS, HYG, IYR, KGC, CDE, CTRA, MRO)..
Will This Volatility End with a Bang?
-Spuz taking 150-200 point moves in stride… not good! -Volatility box 3600-3800 -High correlation and concentration of liquidity -SPX, SPY, QQQ, VIX option volume approx 17 million -Gamma risk is at catastrophic levels -Energy complex -Thin red line in bonds -Dollar in a short squeeze? -Earnings, concerned about buy backs SPX Expected Move- -Last Week-…
Friday Focuses on Financials as CPI Surprises Today
This has been a volatile trading week already with Wednesday's Fed Minutes and today's CPI Inflation Data but with those behind us, we now shift our focus to earnings from major financial companies and how XLF is positioned at the moment. In tonight's video, we revisit the "Risk Reversal" idea that played out rapidly this…
Markets: Primed to Explode Higher but at Risk for a Crash!
It's all about the CPI number tomorrow. Now is the time to look at your risk whether you are long or short and make sure you are comfortable. The market can explode either way on the CPI report. Here's how to analyze your positions...
Fed Minutes and CPI set to Rock The Market!
Today was already a volatile Tuesday in the market with a rally turning to a reversal that led to new bear market lows printing in the SP500 and NASDAQ. The week is young; the Federal Reserve will release their Minutes which gives insight into their ideas about current and future inflation and interest rate policy…
Markets Begging Feds for a Redo
With the escalation of the conflict in Ukraine, it's no wonder defense stocks rallied on Monday. The surprise was the drop in gold as a supposed inflation hedge. Amidst the madness, money managers are increasingly petitioning for the Fed to pivot as performance suffers. (XLP, XLU, PYPL, HYG, FCX, BX, PMT, XLU, AG)