The Smart Way to Play China’s Big Week

If you've been following Chinese stocks (the top destination of lots of global capital these days), you’ll know volatility has been expanding as price has been rising. Even the recent consolidation has seen volatility remain elevated and expanding on today's breakout. In China, the prospect of the next round of stimulus is the exclusive driver…

Monday, March 17, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters

Alright, folks—it’s a great day to be trading, but not everything is working as planned (including my audio setup). But that’s markets, right? Nothing works when you really need it to—and that’s the theme of this weekend so far. We’re live from Hunter, New York, where I’ve been diving deep into research, writing, and, of…

The Next 10% Move (Here’s How to Prepare)

What were your thoughts as you read the title of today’s issue? Were you assuming the next 10% is up or down? Were you thinking that an argument was going to be provided in which you’ll agree or disagree? The S&P 500 has fallen 10% from its high, which is one of the most difficult…

TheoTrade’s Tale of the Tape: Get Ready for the “Great Reflation” This Week

Stocks bounced from an oversold level late last week. As I settled back into my desk over the weekend, I was able to take full stock of the situation. It’s important to realize that some of the biggest rallies in stocks often occur during bear trends. These come from short squeezes. Remember, every current short…

Fade the Rip: The Market Says There’s More Trouble Coming

We’ve been waiting for it! We’re getting something that looks like a rebound… but isn’t really. I’ll be “that guy”: Fade the rip. If you don’t know what that means, well, you will by the time tonight’s video’s done. A lot of people out there will be all over this “rebound,” but they’re making a…

Friday, March 14, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters

Good morning, everybody—Friday’s here, and the markets are still in low gear. Even with the government shutdown officially averted, the market’s reaction is underwhelming. Why? That’s what we’re breaking down today. We’re also covering today’s top market headline—and for fun, the most useless headline making the rounds. Because if you’re not filtering the noise, you’re…

Here’s the Truth About Tariffs, Inflation and Markets

If I hear the phrase, “tariffs are a tax” one more time, I’m going to puke!  Listen, can tariffs create higher prices for consumers, sure. However, that isn’t defined as inflation. Inflation is the general rise in prices over time.  For example, if we posted a CPI inflation of less than 2% over the next…

It’s Not Business, It’s Personal

I’m wrapping up my first real vacation in 5+ years down in sunny Florida. Though my laptop only collected dust for three days, my mental batteries are now charged fuller than a Tesla at a Supercharger station. Those three days of peace gave me something rare: time to think. And perfect timing too, because this…

Inflation Isn’t Going Away, But These Sectors Don’t Care

The CPI and PPI releases this week came in more or less at estimates - nothing to alarm the talking heads, anyway. They show inflation slowing down… but not receding. This isn’t a surprise to anyone who’s been paying attention. While this was good enough for the bulls to at least try for a rally…

Thursday, March 13, 2025 - TheoLIVE Market Masters

Alright, people—step back, take a deep breath, and let’s reassess. Today’s market environment isn’t just a challenge; it’s a completely different game from what we’ve been used to over the last 11 to 15 years. For over a decade, cheap money ran the show. But now? That era is over, and if you’re not paying…