Today only looked boring. It wasn't. GDP came in hot, PCE ran warm, and the dollar absolutely ripped—the kind of big boy moves that don't happen unless someone knows something. While everyone's watching flat S Ps and a sleepy VIX, the real story is burning up the currency markets. The dollar surge w
We hit fresh all-time highs after Trump announced a trade deal with the EU, but after those bullish headlines… it’s been a steady fade ever since. Sure, it’s possible all the good news has been priced in, but with semiconductors still leading, I’m reluctant to sound the alarm here. In the near term,
Swans are on the water this week… White, black, gray – hard to tell from here, of course, but whatever comes our way, we’ll be ready to handle it. This week brings a full truckload of data: reports from the Magnificent Seven giga-caps, a Fed decision, and a key tariff expiration. If markets take a
Retail is officially buying crap by the truckload. The S Ps may be drifting higher right now, but don’t let that fool you: Volume’s dead, tech is stalled, and the so-called leaders? They seem to be taking the week off. They’re nowhere. The serious needle-movers right are utilities, homebuilders, hea
We’re watching crude oil carve out a base, and it’s not subtle. After testing key levels around $68 multiple times and bouncing with conviction, the setup is finally turning bullish for real. To be clear, I’m not seeing explosive upside yet, but the technicals suggest a slow and steady climb, with a
This market is a basketcase just after the close today. We’ve got earnings flying in from every direction: Alphabet (GOOGL) just hit, Tesla (TSLA) will have hit by the time you get this, and the S Ps are whipping around like a kite in a hurricane. While this is happening, retail is fixated on the us
The session started off yesterday with a bang; we booked huge gains in Arqit Quantum (ARQQ) and respectable profits on Riot Platforms (RIOT). But it’s how the rally took shape that tells me it’s time for action. We got a blowoff in many momentum names, which is warning us that the upside in stocks i
It’s easy to get swept up in the excitement when a stock like Opendoor (OPEN) surges 90% in a single day… only to give much of it back just as quickly. That kind of move fuels euphoria, making it tempting to believe, “This time is different.” But is it truly an original moment, or just
If you're watching the S P 500, you'd better understand this: not all of its ETFs are created equal. We always talk SPY. That’s the cap-weighted beast driven by the same seven mega-monsters: Nvidia (NVDA), Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), etc. If one of them moves just a little, it can have a bigger
