There’s a New Ballgame in Gold and Materials Stocks
The mainstream media is having a freakout about the tariffs. We usually hear volumes about the potentially inflationary impact of the policy. Breathless, panicked headlines abound. One of my biggest takeaways here at the outset of the Trump administration is that the playbook has changed. The debt-based economy that we've become so accustomed to has…
Here’s the Upside in Redefining the Bull Market
What's in a name? I asked our TheoChat trading room members whether we're in a bull or a bear market. A clear supermajority replied that they felt we were in a bull market. When I asked how they defined it, the typical answer was, "higher highs and higher lows." But the answer just prompted more…
Why DeepSeek Just Deep-Sixed U.S. AI Stocks
We’re all adults; we all know there are no “sure things.” Just the same, for the past two years, all the talking heads out there have been sure AI was set to revolutionize, well, everything. Sure - AI has been revolutionary and has transformative potential, but its reliance on infrastructure is a hurdle on the…
Tech Sector to Masayoshi Son: “Domo Arigato!”
In a bullish opening salvo, the new Trump administration announced the opening of the Stargate project. Now, this isn't the Stargate that exported people from earth to an extragalactic planet, but rather a portal opening the way to artificial intelligence infrastructure investment in the United States. In this unveiling, Japan’s SoftBank announced a $100 billion…
The Market Is Waking to a Crude Inflationary Reality
Our hearts go out to the people impacted by the wildfires in Los Angeles. The human cost has already been staggering, with at least 24 dead and as many as 100,000 forced to flee their homes. We don’t yet know the final financial toll, but as traders, we can already see signs in the…
The Magnificent Seven Carry the Day, But…
If, like me, you’d watched the market edge higher this morning, what would you have guessed was leading the way? None other than the Magnificent Seven, of course. In this day and age, it’s generally a good bet that that particular “basket” of stocks will lead markets higher. In fact, in 2024, Apple (AAPL), Amazon…
A Year Without Santa: What the Technicals Say About a Near-Term Bottom
By any measure, the “Santa Claus rally” that historically boosts stocks through the end of a calendar year has failed. There are just a handful of trading sessions left in the Santa Claus rally period, but I still see folks hopefully scanning the horizon in hopes the jolly fat bull might appear… There’s a tendency…
The Options Market Is Pointing Us at Four Dividend Stocks Right Now
We’re about to go through the “Turn” from 2024 to 2025… and I’ve got outperformance on my mind. I want to ensure we’re looking at the publicly traded stocks offering the best chance at superior returns in the coming year. We have to consider the likelihood that 2025 will not be like the FOMO-driven years…
These Are the Only Stocks That Matter Right Now
Sure, I get it: You’re searching for the best, soundest stocks to buy in the market. You seek that secret sauce that will make you profitable heading into 2025. What you may not know is that it's not necessarily about fundamental or technical analysis. It's all about a handful of mega-cap stocks, and here's why.…
Traders Bet on Volatility as the S&P 500 Falters
The S&P 500 had its worst day in three weeks as it drifted lower by more than 0.5%. That number isn’t necessarily anything to write home about, but I’m seeing some things happening behind the scenes that, potentially, are ominous. Last week I gave you a signal from the volatility markets that we could be…