7 Of The Top 8 Firms Are In Tech
The stock market ended the month of August positive making it the 10th straight month the S&P 500 was up on a total return basis. In the past two days, it seemed like someone wanted the market to be up for the month as it rallied just enough to achieve that goal. The last North…
Reversal Structures on the SPX Chart
Many clients are asking about our video the other night called "Short Term Bull, Longer Term Trapdoor" asking how did we know? In tonight's video we show you the exact market analysis that led to the call. And watch tonight's video market update to find out what's next so you're ahead of the curve... Plus…
Do Millennials Not Have Jobs?
Are Millennials Hurting? One of the biggest worries some people for the stock market is that baby boomers retiring will take money out of the stock market causing valuations to fall from their current lofty heights. Obviously, the next generation will put money into stocks eventually, but in the next few years there will be…
Hurricane Harvey To Impact GDP
We are in a new world this year in terms of the economic recovery. This year we’ve seen earnings beating the estimates from before the bar was lowered a few weeks before the reports. For the past few years we saw estimates lowered and the lowered estimates beaten. It was a game of misdirection as…
Market Correlations Become Chaos
Stocks rally today as GDP numbers revised higher than expected and ADP employment numbers were positive. In tonight's video we look at market correlations. With all of the positive news market correlations are still broken and volatility remains elevated. Something has to give. Watch tonight's video market update to find out what opportunities are out…
Employers Can’t Find Qualified Workers?
The chart below is blurry, but it still gets the job done in terms of showing you the most important trend in the labor market. The chart shows the spread between those finding jobs ‘plentiful’ vs ‘hard to get’ according to FactSet. As you can see, the ratio is above the level prior to the…
Stocks Can’t Be Stopped By Natural Disaster Or Nuclear War Threats
Stocks Rally Despite Headline Risk The stock market has been amazingly resilient in the past few days as the S&P 500 is only down about 1.2% from the all-time high despite the increased threat of nuclear war with North Korea and the devastating storm in Texas which brought catastrophic flooding. It’s possible 500,000 homes were…
Short Term Bull, Longer Term Trapdoor
An eventful 24 hours after North Korea shot a missile over Japan. In tonight's video let's review the overall market and what to expect next. Also, a review of AMZN, FB, GOOGL, MSFT, and AAPL which are the big 5 stocks leading this market. Where these stocks go so does the rest of the market.…
Houston Houses Affected By Harvey Don’t Have Flood Insurance
Hurricane Harvey To Have A Major Economic Impact The flood in Houston is going to be catastrophic to the city’s economy. Houston is the 4th largest city in America, so this will show up in the August and September economic data. Don’t get fooled by the theory that this will create more demand, making it…
Global Dovishness Spurs Growth, But Has Consequences
Global Dove Let’s look at the state of the global central banks. As you can see from the chart below, most central banks’ last action was to cut rates. That’s likely because in 2015-2016 the global economy was very weak as evidenced by the decline in trade. Trade has rebounded despite the risk of protectionism.…