Emerging Markets Reverse on This, Here's The Trade Setup
Despite a dull trading day lots of opportunities exist in these markets. Today we made nearly 200% intraday trading the SPY options. If you can't trade intraday then you should watch tonight's video newsletter right now for a longer term trading opportunity you don't want to miss...
High Gas Prices To Wipe Away Tax Cut Benefits
Inflation Specifics Inflation has been increasing modestly this year. Since the inflation most often focused on is the year over year data, it’s important to recognize that there are base effects helping the rate look better than it is. It’s easy to grow on top of the disappointing growth numbers in 2017. The base effects…
This is Why We Need to Redefine Volatility
Stocks explode higher all week ending above the expected move. In this crucial weekend video newsletter update we focus on how you can determine how much risk you're comfortable with. Watch this video newsletter update right now to so you're not blind sided in next week's trading...
Yield Curve On Pace To Invert In 3-4 Months
Yield Curve Inversion In 3-4 Months The ultimate signal for investors looking for the next recession is the yield curve. The chart below shows the difference between the 30 year yield and the 5 year yield. At the pace the yield curve is flattening, it will be inverted by August or September. To be clear,…
Stocks Breakout From The 3.5 Month Downtrend
S&P 500 Breakout There’s never a time where you want to celebrate being correct, because you’ll miss the next move. That being said, it appears the market is supporting the notion that this entire move since February was just a correction. As you can see from the chart below, with the 0.94% move upwards on…
The Pain Trade for This Week
Stocks continue to head higher breaking the expected move for the week once again. Watch tonight's video newsletter update for the strategy that is working right now...
South Korean Exports Imply Slowing Earnings Growth
Stocks Rally Based On The End Of The Iran Deal? The S&P 500 was up 0.97% on Wednesday. It’s interesting because the headlines claimed the market rallied because Trump exited the Iran deal. That’s a weird reason for the market to rally as it means more geopolitical uncertainty. I’m not necessarily willing to sell stocks because…
European Citi Surprise Index Is -100.1
Indexes For This Cycle The Citi Economic Surprise Index is like the CNN Fear and Greed Index in that I usually disagree with its assertions. They are both overly sensitive to changes in the market. I may be biased when reviewing these data points because I always compare the extremes with the financial crisis. For…
All Time Highs or Time to Short?
Stocks shoot passed the key 2682 level today with volume. What's next for the market? All time highs or is this a shorting opportunity? Watch tonight's video newsletter update to find out...
Record Number Of Vacant Jobs According To The JOLTS Report
Real Income Growth Is In Decline The labor market is one of the most important factors which affect the markets because it determines Fed policy and it determines personal income growth which is the money the consumer uses to make purchases. Of course, the consumer can borrow money, but people aren’t qualified nor able to…