Trade Deal Outline in Place

Trade Deal - Stocks Creep Higher Before getting into details about the potential trade deal, let's review the stock market. The stock market crept higher on Wednesday as it increased 0.18%.  S&P 500 is now up 11.08% year to date. A question traders are asking is whether the market can maintain this momentum until it breaks the…

Fed States It Is Ending Balance Unwind In Its January Minutes

Fed To End Balance Sheet Reduction In 2019 The Fed released its Minutes from its January meeting on Wednesday. Even though it’s very likely the it won’t raise or cut rates this whole year. There were still many interesting tidbits worth considering.  A headline from this report was Fed plans to end its balance sheet…

The Fed Bows to Market Forces

It’s a mixed bag of goods on a day where the FOMC minutes came out. In today’s video, Don discusses the 180 turn in the Fed’s policy and other “goings-on” in the broader market. See how interest rates over the last 9 months are trending downwards despite predictions of an increase. Learn that the FOMC…

S&P 500 Stocks - 92.45% Are Above Their 50 Day Moving Average

S&P 500 Stocks - Keep Rallying The stock market is extremely overbought in the short term. It’s so overbought that the 0.15% rally in the S&P 500 on Tuesday is impressive.  Nasdaq was up 0.19% and the Russell 2000 was up 0.33%. S&P 500 is up 10.89% for the year.  Even though we have 10 months…

Investors Love Everything Despite Earnings Growth Decline

Investors - 2019 Earnings Expectations Are Low 2019 earnings are very interesting because of the effect comparisons will have on growth. It’s very important to differentiate between actual bad earnings and weak earnings growth rates caused by tough comparisons.  Expectations are for just 0.65% earnings growth in Q1 2019 according to The Earnings Scout. However,…

What's Next for the VIX?

Is there a trade setting up in the VIX right now?  What's the near-term future for the VIX as the market stalls into resistance?  In tonight's video, Corey highlights the probable pathway for the VIX which corresponds with the /ES creeping higher through resistance.  Take a moment to review the updated key levels and potential…

Snapback Rally - One of the Best Ever

Snapback Rally - Another Big Rally The stock market is overbought, and the economic reports are missing estimates. Earnings estimates have fallen to the point where 1st half results are expected to barely show any growth. But stocks still roared higher on Friday.  Bullish investors see a scenario where economic growth recovers as the Fed has…

GDP Growth - Only 1.08% Expected In Q1

GDP Growth - Citi Economic Surprise Index Crashes In this article we will review some top down analyses of the economy.  As you can see from the chart below, the Citi Economic Surprise index fell 31.1 points in one day which is the biggest one day drop since January 2006. The Citi surprise index measures…

This Strategy is Essential to Surviving Current Markets

Stocks continue to explode higher with the Fed fueling a rally of over 400 S&P points in just the last 6 weeks. In this crucial weekend video newsletter we discuss the strategy you can use to survive this market whether you want to be long or short. Here are the opportunities for traders next week...

Stocks Ignore Negative Economic & Earnings Results

Stocks Ignore - Were Mixed On Thursday S&P 500 was down 0.27% on Thursday, but that should be considered an amazing performance when context is given. The stock market came into the day overbought and the retail sales disaster report was released.  You would think an overbought market would worry about the declining Q4 and…